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Copyright � 2004. Jeff Sagarintm. All rights reserved.

2004 American League Batters thru games of Monday, April 5

_______________________________________________________________________
BATTERS ARE LISTED IN THREE TIERS: (all batters are now listed)

(A)
(B)
(C)

the headings over and within each tier tell how many plate appearances
the batters in that particular tier have

predicted RPG = predicted runs/game of entire lineup of given player
  It takes into account all of the player's offensive
  statistics such as W (noting IW), HBP SB CS SH SF
  as well as the normal S D T and HR.
  And of equal importance it takes into account the
  total OUTS made, including SO.

This is the best REAL-LIFE measure of the player's true OFFENSIVE VALUE
MARKOV CHAIN analysis is the mathematical technique used.
_______________________________________________________________________
Babe Ruth's RPG in 1921 was 15.66, was 16.73 in 1920 and 16.76 in 1923.
Ted Williams's RPG in 1941 was 16.99 and Barry Bonds was 14.82 in 2001
and 16.73 in 2002.
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Markov Chain RPG represents REAL-LIFE offensive value,
while DOLLAR$ represents FANTASY LEAGUE value.
_______________________________________________________________________

The DOLLAR$ figure has been arrived at by comparing the player's
statistics in the variables relative to FANTASY LEAGUES to those of all
other players in his league (AMERICAN or NATIONAL), and then putting
the results into the context of a typical fantasy league with 11-12 teams,
each with 25 players (15 batters, 10 pitchers) and a $283 salary cap.
The 11-12 teams is per AMERICAN or NATIONAL league. If a fantasy league
is a "mixed league" -- players can be chosen from BOTH major leagues,
then consider the numbers as if the mixed league had 23 fantasy teams.


Batters are rated on FIVE CATEGORIES: (1) RUNS SCORED
  (2) ONBASE (hits+walks+hbp)
  (3) TOTAL BASES
  (4) RUNS BATTED IN
  (5) (SB * SB)/SBA
  where SBA = SB + CS

Note that the category ONBASE is simply the following
measurement of the batter's onbase total:  (H + W + HBP)
And OUTS is simply (AB - H + CS)

Batter and pitcher DOLLAR$ ratings do NOT take account of POSITION or
STARTING or RELIEF status for batters and pitchers respectively.


By the fact that the DOLLAR$ figure is arrived at by comparing a player
to others STRICTLY within his own league (AMERICAN or NATIONAL),
it could happen that better raw statistics in one league could be worth
a lesser dollar figure than lesser raw statistics in the other league
because they weren't as relatively good in their own league as the
lesser RAW statistics were in their league.
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2004 American League Batters thru games of Monday, April 5
  3 or more plate appearances (ab+sh+sf+w+hbp)
   markov
  RPG DOL$ R H HR RBI SB W TB AB ONBASE OUTS CS SB*SB/SBA

A 1 Hall, Toby TB R 97.99 22.0$ 0 5 0 3 0 0 7 6 5 1 0 .00
A 2 Broussard, Ben CLE L 87.48 18.0$ 1 4 0 0 0 0 4 4 5 0 0 .00
A 3 Mauer, Joe MIN L 72.77 17.1$ 2 2 0 0 0 2 2 3 4 1 0 .00
A 4 Lopez, Javy BAL R 67.64 24.0$ 1 3 1 3 0 0 7 4 3 1 0 .00
A 5 Alomar, Sandy Jr. CHW R 62.37 22.3$ 1 3 1 2 0 0 6 4 3 1 0 .00
A 6 Sheffield, Gary NYY R 59.30 26.0$ 3 3 0 1 0 4 4 5 7 2 0 .00
A 7 Konerko, Paul CHW R 57.71 30.0$ 1 3 0 2 1 0 4 4 3 1 0 1.00
A 8 Bellhorn, Mark BOS B 54.16 11.4$ 0 2 0 0 0 1 3 3 3 1 0 .00
A 9 Dye, Jermaine OAK R 54.16 16.5$ 0 2 0 2 0 1 3 3 3 1 0 .00
A 10 Palmeiro, Rafael BAL L 48.40 18.0$ 1 2 0 1 0 1 2 3 3 1 0 .00
   markov
  RPG DOL$ R H HR RBI SB W TB AB ONBASE OUTS CS SB*SB/SBA

A 11 Hafner, Travis CLE L 37.80 25.9$ 2 3 2 2 0 0 10 5 3 2 0 .00
A 12 Giambi, Jason NYY L 34.76 28.0$ 3 2 1 2 0 3 6 5 6 3 0 .00
A 13 Reese, Pokey BOS R 25.37 9.4$ 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 2 1 0 .00
A 14 Martinez, Tino TB L 24.96 26.8$ 3 3 1 2 0 1 7 6 4 3 0 .00
A 15 Santiago, Benito KC R 23.93 23.8$ 2 2 1 3 0 0 6 4 2 2 0 .00
A 16 Lee, Carlos CHW R 20.85 20.7$ 2 2 1 1 0 0 5 4 2 2 0 .00
A 17 White, Rondell DET R 20.85 23.3$ 2 2 1 3 0 0 5 4 2 2 0 .00
A 18 Mueller, Bill BOS B 20.77 11.4$ 0 3 0 0 0 0 3 5 3 2 0 .00
A 19 Fullmer, Brad TEX L 19.34 14.5$ 1 2 0 0 0 1 2 4 3 2 0 .00
A 20 Lofton, Kenny NYY L 18.03 27.6$ 1 3 0 0 1 2 5 7 5 4 0 1.00
   markov
  RPG DOL$ R H HR RBI SB W TB AB ONBASE OUTS CS SB*SB/SBA

A 21 Soriano, Alfonso TEX R 17.86 9.4$ 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 3 3 2 0 .00
A 22 Woodward, Chris TOR R 17.62 10.9$ 0 2 0 0 0 0 4 4 2 2 0 .00
A 23 Gerut, Jody CLE L 17.42 20.3$ 1 2 1 1 0 1 5 5 3 3 0 .00
A 24 Stewart, Shannon MIN R 17.42 22.9$ 1 2 1 3 0 1 5 5 3 3 0 .00
A 25 Nix, Laynce TEX L 15.93 14.1$ 1 2 0 0 0 0 3 4 2 2 0 .00
A 26 Kielty, Bobby OAK B 15.47 15.7$ 2 2 0 0 0 0 3 4 2 2 0 .00
A 27 Segui, David BAL B 13.71 13.2$ 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 2 2 0 .00
A 28 Kapler, Gabe BOS R 13.49 11.4$ 0 3 0 0 0 0 3 5 3 3 1 .00
A 29 Beltran, Carlos KC B 13.31 20.5$ 1 2 1 2 0 0 5 5 2 3 0 .00
A 30 Pena, Carlos DET L 13.05 19.0$ 1 2 1 1 0 0 5 5 2 3 0 .00
   markov
  RPG DOL$ R H HR RBI SB W TB AB ONBASE OUTS CS SB*SB/SBA

A 31 Rodriguez, Ivan DET R 13.05 19.0$ 1 2 1 1 0 0 5 5 2 3 0 .00
A 32 Teixeira, Mark TEX B 12.90 21.0$ 1 1 1 3 0 1 4 4 2 3 0 .00
A 33 Clark, Tony NYY B 12.71 21.5$ 2 1 1 2 0 1 4 4 2 3 0 .00
A 34 Gonzalez, Juan KC R 11.55 13.2$ 1 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 2 2 0 .00
A 35 Sanchez, Rey TB R 11.55 11.4$ 0 3 0 0 0 0 3 6 3 3 0 .00
A 36 Tejada, Miguel BAL R 11.55 13.2$ 1 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 2 2 0 .00
A 37 Young, Dmitri DET B 11.36 14.9$ 2 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 2 2 0 .00
A 38 Harvey, Ken KC R 9.93 12.1$ 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 3 2 2 0 .00
A 39 Karros, Eric OAK R 9.93 11.8$ 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 3 2 2 0 .00
A 40 Randa, Joe KC R 9.93 13.7$ 2 1 0 0 0 1 1 3 2 2 0 .00
   markov
  RPG DOL$ R H HR RBI SB W TB AB ONBASE OUTS CS SB*SB/SBA

A 41 Scutaro, Marco OAK R 9.93 8.2$ 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 3 2 2 0 .00
A 42 Chavez, Eric OAK L 9.64 12.1$ 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 3 2 2 0 .00
A 43 Durazo, Erubiel OAK L 9.64 12.1$ 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 3 2 2 0 .00
A 44 Thomas, Frank CHW R 9.64 12.1$ 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 3 2 2 0 .00
A 45 Mientkiewicz, Doug MIN L 9.19 14.1$ 1 2 0 0 0 0 3 5 2 3 0 .00
A 46 Matsui, Hideki NYY L 8.90 25.6$ 2 3 1 3 0 0 7 9 3 6 0 .00
A 47 Posada, Jorge NYY B 8.19 27.4$ 2 2 2 6 0 0 8 9 2 7 0 .00
A 48 Ortiz, David BOS L 7.93 5.5$ 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 2 2 0 .00
A 49 Cruz, Jose Jr. TB B 7.29 28.0$ 2 2 1 1 1 1 5 7 3 6 1 .50
A 50 Koskie, Corey MIN L 7.23 12.9$ 0 1 0 1 0 1 2 4 2 3 0 .00
2004 American League Batters thru games of Monday, April 5
  3 or more plate appearances (ab+sh+sf+w+hbp)
   markov
  RPG DOL$ R H HR RBI SB W TB AB ONBASE OUTS CS SB*SB/SBA

A 51 Belliard, Ron CLE R 6.10 9.3$ 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 5 2 3 0 .00
A 52 Young, Michael TEX R 6.10 16.8$ 1 2 0 1 0 0 2 5 2 3 0 .00
A 53 Ramirez, Manny BOS R 5.84 12.9$ 0 2 0 1 0 0 2 5 2 3 0 .00
A 54 Vina, Fernando DET L 5.57 13.2$ 1 2 0 0 0 0 2 5 2 3 0 .00
A 55 Laird, Gerald TEX R 4.64 6.6$ 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 2 0 .00
A 56 Mora, Melvin BAL R 4.44 12.1$ 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 4 2 3 0 .00
A 57 Blalock, Hank TEX L 4.15 9.3$ 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 4 2 3 0 .00
A 58 Catalanotto, Frank TOR L 4.15 7.7$ 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 4 1 3 0 .00
A 59 Sweeney, Mike KC R 4.15 7.7$ 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 4 1 3 0 .00
A 60 Blake, Casey CLE R 3.78 9.3$ 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 6 2 4 0 .00
   markov
  RPG DOL$ R H HR RBI SB W TB AB ONBASE OUTS CS SB*SB/SBA

A 61 Crisp, Coco CLE B 3.75 15.5$ 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 4 1 3 0 1.00
A 62 Gibbons, Jay BAL L 3.71 19.4$ 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 4 1 3 0 1.00
A 63 Lawton, Matt CLE L 3.58 9.3$ 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 6 2 4 0 .00
A 64 Huff, Aubrey TB L 3.51 20.4$ 1 3 0 2 0 0 3 9 3 6 0 .00
A 65 Matos, Luis BAL R 2.78 19.1$ 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 4 1 3 0 1.00
A 66 Rolls, Damian TB R 2.55 10.2$ 0 2 0 0 0 0 3 9 2 7 0 .00
A 67 Valentin, Jose CHW B 2.38 15.2$ 1 1 0 1 0 0 2 5 1 4 0 .00
A 68 Vizquel, Omar CLE B 2.03 7.7$ 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 6 1 5 0 .00
A 69 Jeter, Derek NYY R 1.94 16.9$ 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 8 3 7 0 .00
A 70 Munson, Eric DET L 1.88 6.6$ 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 4 1 3 0 .00
   markov
  RPG DOL$ R H HR RBI SB W TB AB ONBASE OUTS CS SB*SB/SBA

A 71 Ordonez, Magglio CHW R 1.88 10.2$ 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 4 1 3 0 .00
A 72 Phelps, Josh TOR R 1.88 6.6$ 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 4 1 3 0 .00
A 73 Cash, Kevin TOR R 1.65 6.6$ 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 4 1 3 0 .00
A 74 Guiel, Aaron KC L 1.65 10.2$ 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 4 1 3 0 .00
A 75 Hudson, Orlando TOR B 1.65 6.6$ 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 4 1 3 0 .00
A 76 Rowand, Aaron CHW R 1.65 10.5$ 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 4 1 3 0 .00
A 77 Wells, Vernon TOR R 1.65 6.6$ 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 4 1 3 0 .00
A 78 Lugo, Julio TB R 1.45 15.2$ 1 1 0 1 0 0 2 7 1 6 0 .00
A 79 Wilson, Enrique NYY B 1.44 9.3$ 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 9 2 7 0 .00
A 80 Berroa, Angel KC R 1.00 10.5$ 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 5 1 4 0 .00
   markov
  RPG DOL$ R H HR RBI SB W TB AB ONBASE OUTS CS SB*SB/SBA

A 81 Guzman, Cristian MIN B 1.00 10.5$ 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 5 1 4 0 .00
A 82 Hunter, Torii MIN R 1.00 10.2$ 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 5 1 4 0 .00
A 83 Johnson, Reed TOR R 1.00 6.6$ 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 5 1 4 0 .00
A 84 Millar, Kevin BOS R 1.00 6.6$ 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 5 1 4 0 .00
A 85 Rodriguez, Alex NYY R .98 11.6$ 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 9 1 8 0 .00
A 86 Hinske, Eric TOR L .97 3.9$ 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 1 3 0 .00
A 87 Crawford, Carl TB L .96 19.4$ 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 9 1 8 0 1.00
A 88 Baldelli, Rocco TB R .92 12.1$ 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 8 2 7 0 .00
A 89 Delgado, Carlos TOR L .78 3.9$ 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 1 3 0 .00
A 90 Guillen, Carlos DET B .78 3.9$ 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 1 3 0 .00
   markov
  RPG DOL$ R H HR RBI SB W TB AB ONBASE OUTS CS SB*SB/SBA

A 91 Higginson, Bobby DET L .78 7.4$ 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 3 1 3 0 .00
A 92 Varitek, Jason BOS B .34 7.8$ 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 1 4 0 .00
A 93 Martinez, Victor CLE B .29 3.9$ 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 1 5 0 .00
A 94 LeCroy, Matt MIN R .27 3.9$ 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 1 4 0 .00
A 95 Jones, Jacque MIN L .21 3.9$ 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 1 4 0 .00
A 96 Roberts, Brian BAL B .03 3.9$ 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 1 5 1 .00
A 97 Damon, Johnny BOS L .01 3.6$ 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 5 0 5 0 .00
A 98 Dellucci, David TEX L .01 8.9$ 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 4 0 4 0 1.00
A 99 Harris, Willie CHW L .01 .0$ 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 4 0 .00
A 100 Kotsay, Mark OAK L .01 .0$ 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 5 0 .00
2004 American League Batters thru games of Monday, April 5
  3 or more plate appearances (ab+sh+sf+w+hbp)
   markov
  RPG DOL$ R H HR RBI SB W TB AB ONBASE OUTS CS SB*SB/SBA

A 101 Miller, Damian OAK R .01 .0$ 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 3 0 .00
A 102 Crede, Joe CHW R .01 .0$ 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 4 0 .00
A 103 Crosby, Bobby OAK R .01 3.9$ 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 4 0 .00
A 104 Sanchez, Alex DET L .01 .0$ 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 4 0 .00
A 105 Sierra, Ruben NYY B .01 .0$ 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 4 0 .00
A 106 Rivas, Luis MIN R .00 .0$ 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 3 0 .00
A 107 Mench, Kevin TEX R .00 .0$ 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 5 0 .00
A 108 Bigbie, Larry BAL L .00 .0$ 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 4 0 .00
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2004 American League Batters thru games of Monday, April 5
  1 to 2 plate appearances (ab+sh+sf+w+hbp)
   markov
  RPG DOL$ R H HR RBI SB W TB AB ONBASE OUTS CS SB*SB/SBA

B 1 Lopez, Mendy KC R 28.73 19.4$ 1 1 1 3 0 0 4 1 1 0 0 .00
B 2 Byrnes, Eric OAK R 19.36 12.8$ 0 1 0 2 0 0 2 1 1 0 0 .00
B 3 Perry, Herbert TEX R 11.55 6.6$ 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 .00
B 4 Relaford, Desi KC B 11.55 6.6$ 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 .00
B 5 Cuddyer, Mike MIN R 11.15 15.5$ 1 1 0 2 0 0 1 2 1 1 0 .00
B 6 Daubach, Brian BOS L 8.22 3.9$ 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 .00
B 7 Inge, Brandon DET R 8.22 3.9$ 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 .00
B 8 Monroe, Craig DET R 8.22 3.9$ 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 .00
B 9 Graffanino, Tony KC R 7.67 3.9$ 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 .00
B 10 Burks, Ellis BOS R .01 .0$ 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 .00
   markov
  RPG DOL$ R H HR RBI SB W TB AB ONBASE OUTS CS SB*SB/SBA

B 11 Fick, Robert TB L .01 .0$ 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 .00
B 12 Fordyce, Brook TB R .01 .0$ 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 .00
B 13 Merloni, Lou CLE R .01 .0$ 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .00
B 14 Blum, Geoff TB B .00 .0$ 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 .00
B 15 Norton, Greg DET B .00 .0$ 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 .00
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end of batters

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