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All Contents Copyright © 2019 Jeff Sagarintm. All rights reserved.

Predictions_with_Totals


just click on "Predictions_with_Totals" and it will take you to the daily predictions at bottom of file

Final COLLEGE FOOTBALL 2018 through results of 2019 JANUARY 7 MONDAY - National Championship Game


this output has two parts: (1) CONFERENCE AVERAGES
  (listed top-to-bottom & alphabetically)
  (2) teams listed by CONFERENCE
  (listed in order within conferences)

The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would have to be for a
hypothetical team to have a mathematical expectation of winning precisely 50%
of their games against the schedule played by the team in question in the games
that it has played so far. The schedule difficulty of each given game takes
into account the rating of the opponent and the location of the game. This
is the same concept that is used in computing the WIN50% conference ratings.

In COLLEGE FOOTBALL the W-L records include ALL games, but ONLY
games between the 255 TEAMS RATED here are used for RATING and SCHEDULE
STRENGTH computations.

To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL 3 points for the home
team. Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 92 would be
favored by 5 points over a VISITING team having a rating of 90.
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 89 would be favored by 7 points
over a HOME team having a rating of 79.

NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below.
  In the example just above, a home edge of 3 was shown for
  illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.
Several different home edges are shown, one for each of the several different type of ratings
directly over their respective columns.


The numbers to the right of a team's schedule strength
are its rank of schedule - (in parentheses) - and its
record versus teams in these rating's CURRENT top 10
and top 30 respectively.



Teams that appear to be tied to two decimal places in a given column are actually
different when carried to more decimal places in the computer's internal arithmetic.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The PREDICTOR, is such that the score is the only thing that matters.
PREDICTOR is also known as PURE_POINTS, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL
and is a very good PREDICTOR of future games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
GOLDEN_MEAN also utilizes the actual SCORES of the games in a different way but is also completely SCORE BASED
and thus should be a good match for the PURE POINTS in terms of predictive accuracy for upcoming games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The RECENT, is score-based and weights RECENT play more heavily than earlier games. Its effect will become
more pronounced the longer a season goes if a given team happens to have an upward or downward trend.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The overall RATING is a synthesis of the three different SCORE-BASED methods, PREDICTOR(PURE_POINTS)GOLDEN_MEAN,
and RECENT and thus should be a good predictor in its own right.

Conference Rankings



There are three group ratings, the "central mean", the
"simple average" (also known as the "arithmetic mean",)
and the WIN50%.
The "central mean" gives the most weight to the middle team(s)
in the group and progressively less weight to teams as you go
away from the middle in either direction, up or down.
This tends to smooth out the effect of anomalous teams that are rated
much higher and lower than the middle team(s) in the group. The
"simple average" ("arithmetic mean") weights each team equally
no matter where they are relative to the middle.
Here are a few examples of how the "central mean" is computed.
  4-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-2-1
  5-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-2-1
  6-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-3-2-1
  7-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-3-2-1
  8-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-4-3-2-1
  9-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-4-3-2-1
 10-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-5-4-3-2-1
 11-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-5-4-3-2-1
 12-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-6-5-4-3-2-1
 13-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-6-5-4-3-2-1
This is an expanded version of the "tri-mean".

The WIN50% is the rating required to win 50% of the games if playing an
infinite number of round-robins in the given group at a neutral location.



   CONFERENCE CENTRAL MEAN SIMPLE AVERAGE TEAMS WIN50%

  1 SEC-WEST (A) = 83.24 82.49 ( 1) 7 82.97 ( 1)
  2 SEC-EAST (A) = 79.90 79.96 ( 2) 7 79.91 ( 2)
  3 BIG TEN-EAST (A) = 78.52 77.77 ( 3) 7 78.40 ( 3)
  4 PAC-12(NORTH) (A) = 77.77 76.49 ( 6) 6 77.37 ( 5)
  5 BIG 12 (A) = 77.35 77.51 ( 4) 10 77.47 ( 4)
  6 ACC-ATLANTIC (A) = 76.36 77.07 ( 5) 7 76.15 ( 6)
  7 BIG TEN-WEST (A) = 76.26 75.72 ( 7) 7 76.11 ( 7)
  8 ACC-COASTAL (A) = 74.02 73.45 ( 9) 7 73.57 ( 8)
  9 PAC-12(SOUTH) (A) = 73.08 73.64 ( 8) 6 73.53 ( 9)
  10 MWC-MOUNTAIN (A) = 66.86 66.91 ( 10) 6 66.86 ( 10)
  11 AAC EAST (A) = 65.28 64.59 ( 11) 6 65.18 ( 11)
  12 AAC WEST (A) = 63.84 64.27 ( 13) 6 64.17 ( 12)
  13 I-A IND. (A) = 63.47 64.33 ( 12) 6 63.73 ( 13)
  14 SUN BELT-EAST (A) = 62.77 62.72 ( 14) 5 62.73 ( 14)
  15 MWC-WEST (A) = 61.00 62.17 ( 15) 6 61.30 ( 15)
  16 MAC-WEST (A) = 60.83 60.32 ( 16) 6 60.47 ( 16)
  17 CONF USA-EAST (A) = 59.30 58.92 ( 19) 7 58.99 ( 18)
  18 MAC-EAST (A) = 59.18 59.48 ( 17) 6 59.36 ( 17)
  19 MISSOURI VALLEY (AA)= 57.79 59.21 ( 18) 10 58.28 ( 19)
  20 CONF USA-WEST (A) = 55.55 55.10 ( 20) 7 55.36 ( 20)
  21 SUN BELT-WEST (A) = 54.45 54.47 ( 21) 5 54.45 ( 21)
  22 COLONIAL (AA)= 50.18 50.09 ( 22) 12 50.00 ( 22)
  23 BIG SKY (AA)= 48.69 49.45 ( 23) 14 49.03 ( 23)
  24 SOUTHERN (AA)= 46.19 45.40 ( 24) 9 45.91 ( 24)
  25 IVY LEAGUE (AA)= 44.50 44.85 ( 25) 8 44.65 ( 25)
  26 OHIO VALLEY (AA)= 42.11 42.04 ( 26) 9 42.21 ( 26)
  27 SOUTHLAND (AA)= 41.76 41.14 ( 27) 11 41.47 ( 27)
  28 BIG SOUTH (AA)= 34.40 35.49 ( 28) 6 34.22 ( 28)
  29 NORTHEAST (AA)= 32.07 31.45 ( 30) 7 31.70 ( 29)
  30 PATRIOT (AA)= 30.85 33.22 ( 29) 7 31.40 ( 30)
  31 I-AA IND. (AA)= 30.83 30.83 ( 31) 2 30.83 ( 31)
  32 MID-EASTERN (AA)= 30.35 30.73 ( 32) 10 30.41 ( 32)
  33 SWAC-WEST (AA)= 29.03 27.91 ( 33) 5 28.54 ( 33)
  34 SWAC-EAST (AA)= 24.35 24.46 ( 34) 5 24.33 ( 34)
  35 PIONEER (AA)= 21.34 22.44 ( 35) 10 21.86 ( 35)
  36 ***UNRATED*** (**) = -91.00 -91.00 ( 36) 1 -91.00 ( 36)


   CONFERENCE CENTRAL MEAN SIMPLE AVERAGE TEAMS WIN50%

  11 AAC EAST (A) = 65.28 64.59 ( 11) 6 65.18 ( 11)
  12 AAC WEST (A) = 63.84 64.27 ( 13) 6 64.17 ( 12)
  6 ACC-ATLANTIC (A) = 76.36 77.07 ( 5) 7 76.15 ( 6)
  8 ACC-COASTAL (A) = 74.02 73.45 ( 9) 7 73.57 ( 8)
  3 BIG TEN-EAST (A) = 78.52 77.77 ( 3) 7 78.40 ( 3)
  7 BIG TEN-WEST (A) = 76.26 75.72 ( 7) 7 76.11 ( 7)
  5 BIG 12 (A) = 77.35 77.51 ( 4) 10 77.47 ( 4)
  17 CONF USA-EAST (A) = 59.30 58.92 ( 19) 7 58.99 ( 18)
  20 CONF USA-WEST (A) = 55.55 55.10 ( 20) 7 55.36 ( 20)
  18 MAC-EAST (A) = 59.18 59.48 ( 17) 6 59.36 ( 17)
  16 MAC-WEST (A) = 60.83 60.32 ( 16) 6 60.47 ( 16)
  10 MWC-MOUNTAIN (A) = 66.86 66.91 ( 10) 6 66.86 ( 10)
  15 MWC-WEST (A) = 61.00 62.17 ( 15) 6 61.30 ( 15)
  4 PAC-12(NORTH) (A) = 77.77 76.49 ( 6) 6 77.37 ( 5)
  9 PAC-12(SOUTH) (A) = 73.08 73.64 ( 8) 6 73.53 ( 9)
  2 SEC-EAST (A) = 79.90 79.96 ( 2) 7 79.91 ( 2)
  1 SEC-WEST (A) = 83.24 82.49 ( 1) 7 82.97 ( 1)
  14 SUN BELT-EAST (A) = 62.77 62.72 ( 14) 5 62.73 ( 14)
  21 SUN BELT-WEST (A) = 54.45 54.47 ( 21) 5 54.45 ( 21)
  13 I-A IND. (A) = 63.47 64.33 ( 12) 6 63.73 ( 13)
  23 BIG SKY (AA)= 48.69 49.45 ( 23) 14 49.03 ( 23)
  28 BIG SOUTH (AA)= 34.40 35.49 ( 28) 6 34.22 ( 28)
  22 COLONIAL (AA)= 50.18 50.09 ( 22) 12 50.00 ( 22)
  25 IVY LEAGUE (AA)= 44.50 44.85 ( 25) 8 44.65 ( 25)
  32 MID-EASTERN (AA)= 30.35 30.73 ( 32) 10 30.41 ( 32)
  19 MISSOURI VALLEY (AA)= 57.79 59.21 ( 18) 10 58.28 ( 19)
  29 NORTHEAST (AA)= 32.07 31.45 ( 30) 7 31.70 ( 29)
  26 OHIO VALLEY (AA)= 42.11 42.04 ( 26) 9 42.21 ( 26)
  30 PATRIOT (AA)= 30.85 33.22 ( 29) 7 31.40 ( 30)
  35 PIONEER (AA)= 21.34 22.44 ( 35) 10 21.86 ( 35)
  24 SOUTHERN (AA)= 46.19 45.40 ( 24) 9 45.91 ( 24)
  27 SOUTHLAND (AA)= 41.76 41.14 ( 27) 11 41.47 ( 27)
  34 SWAC-EAST (AA)= 24.35 24.46 ( 34) 5 24.33 ( 34)
  33 SWAC-WEST (AA)= 29.03 27.91 ( 33) 5 28.54 ( 33)
  31 I-AA IND. (AA)= 30.83 30.83 ( 31) 2 30.83 ( 31)
  36 ***UNRATED*** (**) = -91.00 -91.00 ( 36) 1 -91.00 ( 36)
__________________________________________________________________________________________________

By Conference



_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  11 AAC EAST (A) = 65.28 64.59 ( 11) TEAMS= 6 65.18 ( 11)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29]
  22 Central Florida(UCF) A =  82.18  12 1 63.92( 83) 0 0 | 0 1  |  81.69 23 |  83.46 18 |  85.37 14  AAC EAST
  39 Cincinnati A =  76.41  11 2 62.89( 90) 0 0 | 0 1  |  76.23 41 |  75.35 45 |  77.03 37  AAC EAST
  61 Temple A =  72.12  8 5 65.02( 77) 0 0 | 0 1  |  72.47 59 |  71.95 58 |  69.22 66  AAC EAST
 102 South Florida A =  61.36  7 6 63.23( 88) 0 0 | 0 1  |  61.81 101 |  64.14 90 |  57.62 114  AAC EAST
 140 East Carolina A =  52.44  3 9 66.08( 73) 0 0 | 0 2  |  52.20 138 |  53.89 128 |  53.50 132  AAC EAST
 180 Connecticut A =  43.01  1 11 66.54( 72) 0 0 | 0 3  |  43.21 178 |  45.02 173 |  40.79 196  AAC EAST
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  12 AAC WEST (A) = 63.84 64.27 ( 13) TEAMS= 6 64.17 ( 12)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29]
  53 Memphis A =  73.20  8 6 61.75( 103) 0 0 | 0 3  |  73.25 54 |  72.24 55 |  72.23 55  AAC WEST
  74 Houston A =  68.36  8 5 62.54( 95) 0 0 | 0 0  |  68.53 73 |  69.43 71 |  66.58 81  AAC WEST
  86 Tulane A =  65.22  7 6 65.15( 76) 0 1 | 0 1  |  64.67 88 |  65.80 84 |  68.63 67  AAC WEST
 104 SMU A =  60.72  5 7 66.95( 70) 0 1 | 0 2  |  60.64 105 |  61.47 102 |  60.64 104  AAC WEST
 107 Navy A =  60.19  3 10 68.61( 66) 0 1 | 0 2  |  60.92 104 |  60.04 109 |  54.52 127  AAC WEST
 113 Tulsa A =  57.91  3 9 63.77( 85) 0 0 | 0 1  |  58.56 111 |  56.16 116 |  52.73 140  AAC WEST
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  6 ACC-ATLANTIC (A) = 76.36 77.07 ( 5) TEAMS= 7 76.15 ( 6)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29]
  1 Clemson A = 103.16  15 0 75.13( 25) 2 0 | 5 0  |  102.42 1 |  103.64 1 |  110.31 1  ACC-ATLANTIC
  28 Syracuse A =  79.45  10 3 70.81( 61) 0 2 | 2 2  |  78.58 32 |  80.01 29 |  86.45 13  ACC-ATLANTIC
  30 NC State A =  79.13  9 4 69.84( 65) 0 1 | 0 3  |  79.65 27 |  79.77 30 |  75.35 44  ACC-ATLANTIC
  38 Boston College A =  76.46  7 5 71.89( 55) 0 1 | 0 3  |  76.81 38 |  77.02 38 |  73.62 48  ACC-ATLANTIC
  60 Wake Forest A =  72.32  7 6 72.53( 50) 0 2 | 1 3  |  71.39 63 |  73.08 53 |  79.57 31  ACC-ATLANTIC
  67 Florida State A =  70.47  5 7 75.62( 16) 0 2 | 0 5  |  70.47 68 |  73.31 52 |  69.81 64  ACC-ATLANTIC
 112 Louisville A =  58.48  2 10 75.78( 15) 0 2 | 0 5  |  59.03 110 |  61.91 99 |  53.96 129  ACC-ATLANTIC
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  8 ACC-COASTAL (A) = 74.02 73.45 ( 9) TEAMS= 7 73.57 ( 8)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29]
  34 Miami-Florida A =  78.11  7 6 71.78( 57) 0 0 | 0 2  |  79.24 30 |  77.69 36 |  71.21 59  ACC-COASTAL
  43 Virginia A =  75.98  8 5 69.93( 64) 0 0 | 0 1  |  75.49 45 |  75.02 47 |  79.01 33  ACC-COASTAL
  48 Georgia Tech A =  75.12  7 6 71.21( 60) 0 2 | 0 2  |  75.36 47 |  74.01 51 |  72.93 50  ACC-COASTAL
  49 Duke A =  74.67  8 5 73.58( 46) 0 1 | 0 1  |  74.74 50 |  76.27 41 |  73.55 49  ACC-COASTAL
  50 Pittsburgh A =  74.36  7 7 77.42( 3) 0 2 | 1 5  |  74.19 51 |  75.91 43 |  74.89 45  ACC-COASTAL
  64 Virginia Tech A =  71.19  6 7 71.26( 59) 0 1 | 0 1  |  71.53 62 |  71.87 59 |  68.35 70  ACC-COASTAL
  90 North Carolina A =  64.75  2 9 72.44( 51) 0 0 | 0 2  |  65.93 81 |  63.09 94 |  56.49 118  ACC-COASTAL
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  3 BIG TEN-EAST (A) = 78.52 77.77 ( 3) TEAMS= 7 78.40 ( 3)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29]
  3 Ohio State A =  92.33  13 1 74.55( 38) 2 0 | 3 0  |  91.74 3 |  93.81 3 |  96.82 3  BIG TEN-EAST
  6 Michigan A =  88.80  10 3 75.48( 20) 0 2 | 2 3  |  89.79 6 |  88.56 7 |  83.11 22  BIG TEN-EAST
  11 Penn State A =  86.27  9 4 74.82( 33) 1 2 | 2 3  |  86.71 10 |  86.22 10 |  83.01 23  BIG TEN-EAST
  33 Michigan State A =  78.14  7 6 75.86( 13) 0 2 | 2 2  |  78.46 33 |  80.20 27 |  75.52 42  BIG TEN-EAST
  56 Maryland A =  72.67  5 7 75.52( 19) 0 3 | 1 4  |  73.28 53 |  72.15 57 |  68.18 71  BIG TEN-EAST
  66 Indiana A =  70.74  5 7 75.26( 22) 0 3 | 0 4  |  71.54 61 |  70.35 68 |  65.08 84  BIG TEN-EAST
 121 Rutgers A =  55.46  1 11 74.15( 42) 0 2 | 0 4  |  56.30 117 |  53.77 130 |  48.77 155  BIG TEN-EAST
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  7 BIG TEN-WEST (A) = 76.26 75.72 ( 7) TEAMS= 7 76.11 ( 7)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29]
  10 Iowa A =  86.60  9 4 73.94( 44) 1 0 | 1 2  |  86.90 8 |  85.08 14 |  84.10 17  BIG TEN-WEST
  25 Wisconsin A =  81.12  8 5 72.34( 52) 1 1 | 1 2  |  81.42 24 |  81.87 23 |  78.59 34  BIG TEN-WEST
  32 Northwestern A =  78.37  9 5 76.79( 8) 1 3 | 3 3  |  77.57 35 |  80.06 28 |  84.51 16  BIG TEN-WEST
  42 Minnesota A =  76.14  7 6 74.11( 43) 0 2 | 2 2  |  75.43 46 |  74.25 50 |  81.21 26  BIG TEN-WEST
  47 Purdue A =  75.43  6 7 77.28( 4) 2 0 | 2 3  |  76.19 42 |  76.02 42 |  70.22 62  BIG TEN-WEST
  54 Nebraska A =  73.01  4 8 75.26( 23) 0 3 | 0 4  |  73.06 55 |  71.72 62 |  72.06 56  BIG TEN-WEST
 109 Illinois A =  59.37  4 8 71.78( 56) 0 1 | 0 3  |  59.09 109 |  61.83 100 |  60.72 103  BIG TEN-WEST
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  5 BIG 12 (A) = 77.35 77.51 ( 4) TEAMS= 10 77.47 ( 4)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29]
  5 Oklahoma A =  90.99  12 2 76.15( 12) 0 1 | 2 2  |  90.59 5 |  92.73 4 |  93.48 5  BIG 12
  16 West Virginia A =  83.76  8 4 74.74( 36) 0 1 | 1 2  |  84.69 14 |  82.16 21 |  78.10 36  BIG 12
  17 Texas A =  83.45  10 4 76.79( 7) 2 1 | 2 2  |  82.72 20 |  85.00 15 |  89.12 8  BIG 12
  31 Oklahoma State A =  79.01  7 6 74.63( 37) 0 1 | 4 1  |  79.49 28 |  78.31 32 |  75.45 43  BIG 12
  37 Iowa State A =  76.72  8 5 75.53( 18) 0 2 | 1 4  |  76.10 43 |  77.80 35 |  81.01 27  BIG 12
  40 TCU A =  76.38  7 6 74.92( 30) 0 2 | 0 4  |  76.27 40 |  77.34 37 |  76.55 39  BIG 12
  46 Texas Tech A =  75.62  5 7 74.40( 40) 0 1 | 0 3  |  76.94 37 |  73.01 54 |  67.62 75  BIG 12
  52 Kansas State A =  73.59  5 7 75.30( 21) 0 2 | 0 4  |  73.36 52 |  75.13 46 |  74.60 46  BIG 12
  62 Baylor A =  71.26  7 6 73.56( 47) 0 1 | 0 3  |  70.76 66 |  72.17 56 |  74.38 47  BIG 12
  93 Kansas A =  64.31  3 9 73.68( 45) 0 1 | 0 3  |  64.84 86 |  61.23 105 |  60.13 108  BIG 12
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  17 CONF USA-EAST (A) = 59.30 58.92 ( 19) TEAMS= 7 58.99 ( 18)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29]
  79 Marshall A =  66.29  9 4 59.75( 114) 0 0 | 0 1  |  66.02 80 |  67.21 78 |  67.61 76  CONF USA-EAST
  91 Middle Tennessee A =  64.61  8 6 63.59( 86) 0 1 | 0 2  |  64.17 94 |  65.55 85 |  67.17 80  CONF USA-EAST
  97 Florida Atlantic A =  62.65  5 7 62.43( 96) 0 1 | 0 2  |  62.70 98 |  63.34 92 |  61.66 98  CONF USA-EAST
  99 Fla. International A =  62.42  9 4 56.75( 132) 0 0 | 0 0  |  62.30 99 |  61.68 101 |  62.62 95  CONF USA-EAST
 130 Western Kentucky A =  53.35  3 9 59.28( 115) 0 0 | 0 1  |  53.08 132 |  52.58 137 |  54.58 126  CONF USA-EAST
 137 Charlotte A =  52.59  5 7 61.10( 105) 0 0 | 0 0  |  52.11 140 |  51.73 142 |  55.35 121  CONF USA-EAST
 150 Old Dominion A =  50.52  4 8 57.47( 125) 0 0 | 0 0  |  50.92 147 |  50.36 149 |  46.90 166  CONF USA-EAST
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  20 CONF USA-WEST (A) = 55.55 55.10 ( 20) TEAMS= 7 55.36 ( 20)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29]
  73 UAB A =  68.78  11 3 57.37( 126) 0 0 | 0 1  |  68.29 75 |  67.25 77 |  71.80 58  CONF USA-WEST
  83 North Texas A =  65.55  9 4 56.04( 135) 0 0 | 0 1  |  65.54 84 |  66.16 81 |  64.94 85  CONF USA-WEST
 103 Louisiana Tech A =  61.09  8 5 57.58( 123) 0 1 | 0 2  |  60.99 103 |  62.25 97 |  61.21 102  CONF USA-WEST
 108 Southern Miss A =  60.17  6 5 55.35( 140) 0 0 | 0 1  |  60.07 107 |  58.76 111 |  60.20 106  CONF USA-WEST
 169 UTSA A =  45.69  3 9 62.13( 98) 0 0 | 0 0  |  45.79 169 |  47.95 161 |  44.32 181  CONF USA-WEST
 178 Rice A =  43.41  2 11 60.45( 111) 0 0 | 0 1  |  43.44 177 |  42.43 184 |  42.52 188  CONF USA-WEST
 188 UTEP A =  41.02  1 11 56.81( 131) 0 0 | 0 0  |  41.55 185 |  39.28 199 |  36.07 212  CONF USA-WEST
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  18 MAC-EAST (A) = 59.18 59.48 ( 17) TEAMS= 6 59.36 ( 17)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29]
  55 Ohio A =  72.77  9 4 58.99( 117) 0 0 | 0 0  |  72.21 60 |  71.87 60 |  76.49 40  MAC-EAST
  80 Buffalo A =  66.20  10 4 60.92( 108) 0 0 | 0 0  |  66.25 79 |  67.30 76 |  65.23 83  MAC-EAST
  85 Miami-Ohio A =  65.30  6 6 64.15( 80) 0 0 | 0 0  |  64.57 90 |  63.93 91 |  70.14 63  MAC-EAST
 132 Akron A =  53.21  4 8 63.95( 82) 0 0 | 0 0  |  53.91 129 |  53.23 135 |  47.36 162  MAC-EAST
 154 Bowling Green A =  50.10  3 9 63.10( 89) 0 0 | 0 0  |  49.72 153 |  51.18 147 |  52.14 143  MAC-EAST
 157 Kent State A =  49.30  2 10 62.86( 91) 0 0 | 0 1  |  49.68 154 |  47.74 162 |  45.86 173  MAC-EAST
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  16 MAC-WEST (A) = 60.83 60.32 ( 16) TEAMS= 6 60.47 ( 16)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29]
  75 Toledo A =  67.99  7 6 60.00( 112) 0 0 | 0 1  |  68.48 74 |  66.55 79 |  64.14 87  MAC-WEST
  84 Northern Illinois A =  65.48  8 6 66.84( 71) 0 1 | 0 2  |  65.80 82 |  67.33 75 |  62.63 94  MAC-WEST
  92 Eastern Michigan A =  64.53  7 6 61.04( 107) 0 0 | 0 0  |  64.49 91 |  63.27 93 |  64.13 88  MAC-WEST
 106 Western Michigan A =  60.26  7 6 62.69( 93) 0 1 | 0 2  |  60.54 106 |  62.11 98 |  57.65 113  MAC-WEST
 133 Ball State A =  53.03  4 8 62.20( 97) 0 1 | 0 1  |  53.27 130 |  51.59 144 |  50.71 148  MAC-WEST
 149 Central Michigan A =  50.65  1 11 62.77( 92) 0 0 | 0 1  |  51.60 144 |  48.75 157 |  42.58 187  MAC-WEST
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  10 MWC-MOUNTAIN (A) = 66.86 66.91 ( 10) TEAMS= 6 66.86 ( 10)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29]
  27 Utah State A =  79.47  11 2 59.99( 113) 0 0 | 0 1  |  79.25 29 |  77.96 34 |  80.36 29  MWC-MOUNTAIN
  29 Boise State A =  79.21  10 3 68.00( 68) 0 0 | 2 1  |  78.99 31 |  79.15 31 |  80.19 30  MWC-MOUNTAIN
  77 Air Force A =  67.21  5 7 63.81( 84) 0 0 | 0 2  |  67.78 76 |  64.53 88 |  62.85 92  MWC-MOUNTAIN
  81 Wyoming A =  66.00  6 6 65.55( 75) 0 0 | 0 5  |  65.63 83 |  66.30 80 |  68.04 72  MWC-MOUNTAIN
 122 Colorado State A =  55.25  3 9 65.97( 74) 0 0 | 0 3  |  55.62 120 |  55.98 118 |  51.91 145  MWC-MOUNTAIN
 128 New Mexico A =  54.35  3 9 64.14( 81) 0 0 | 0 4  |  54.53 125 |  54.50 124 |  52.37 142  MWC-MOUNTAIN
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  15 MWC-WEST (A) = 61.00 62.17 ( 15) TEAMS= 6 61.30 ( 15)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29]
  21 Fresno State A =  82.36  12 2 64.84( 78) 0 0 | 1 1  |  82.05 22 |  80.80 26 |  83.99 18  MWC-WEST
  88 Nevada A =  65.05  8 5 62.69( 94) 0 0 | 0 2  |  64.64 89 |  64.15 89 |  67.40 78  MWC-WEST
  94 San Diego State A =  63.61  7 6 64.72( 79) 0 0 | 1 2  |  63.64 95 |  66.03 83 |  62.81 93  MWC-WEST
 117 Hawai'i A =  56.11  8 6 61.76( 102) 0 0 | 0 2  |  56.19 118 |  57.70 113 |  54.88 123  MWC-WEST
 126 UNLV A =  54.49  4 8 62.08( 100) 0 0 | 0 2  |  54.61 124 |  53.78 129 |  52.99 136  MWC-WEST
 145 San Jose State A =  51.42  1 11 68.27( 67) 0 0 | 0 3  |  51.88 141 |  49.27 154 |  47.36 161  MWC-WEST
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  4 PAC-12(NORTH) (A) = 77.77 76.49 ( 6) TEAMS= 6 77.37 ( 5)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29]
  9 Washington A =  87.05  10 4 75.85( 14) 0 1 | 4 2  |  86.72 9 |  88.43 8 |  88.94 10  PAC-12(NORTH)
  20 Washington State A =  83.22  11 2 72.18( 53) 0 1 | 2 1  |  82.93 18 |  83.08 19 |  84.72 15  PAC-12(NORTH)
  24 Stanford A =  81.37  9 4 74.77( 35) 0 2 | 0 4  |  81.33 25 |  82.72 20 |  80.97 28  PAC-12(NORTH)
  35 Oregon A =  78.00  9 4 70.73( 63) 1 0 | 1 3  |  78.10 34 |  78.00 33 |  76.73 38  PAC-12(NORTH)
  59 California A =  72.37  7 6 72.02( 54) 1 0 | 1 2  |  72.98 56 |  71.76 61 |  67.89 73  PAC-12(NORTH)
 115 Oregon State A =  56.96  2 10 75.10( 27) 0 2 | 0 4  |  57.35 114 |  57.58 114 |  53.54 131  PAC-12(NORTH)
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  9 PAC-12(SOUTH) (A) = 73.08 73.64 ( 8) TEAMS= 6 73.53 ( 9)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29]
  23 Utah A =  82.05  9 5 75.13( 26) 0 2 | 1 3  |  82.61 21 |  81.54 24 |  78.11 35  PAC-12(SOUTH)
  45 Arizona State A =  75.63  7 6 73.44( 48) 0 1 | 1 3  |  75.52 44 |  74.30 49 |  75.73 41  PAC-12(SOUTH)
  51 Southern California A =  74.11  5 7 74.33( 41) 0 1 | 1 4  |  74.93 49 |  74.93 48 |  68.53 68  PAC-12(SOUTH)
  65 Arizona A =  70.74  5 7 70.78( 62) 0 0 | 0 2  |  70.37 69 |  71.11 65 |  72.83 52  PAC-12(SOUTH)
  71 UCLA A =  69.76  3 9 77.88( 1) 0 2 | 0 5  |  69.99 71 |  69.44 70 |  67.59 77  PAC-12(SOUTH)
  72 Colorado A =  69.55  5 7 71.65( 58) 0 1 | 0 3  |  70.66 67 |  69.26 72 |  62.16 96  PAC-12(SOUTH)
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  2 SEC-EAST (A) = 79.90 79.96 ( 2) TEAMS= 7 79.91 ( 2)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29]
  4 Georgia A =  91.50  11 3 76.63( 10) 0 1 | 4 3  |  91.56 4 |  91.06 5 |  90.51 6  SEC-EAST
  13 Florida A =  85.21  10 3 74.83( 32) 2 1 | 3 3  |  84.65 15 |  84.84 16 |  89.08 9  SEC-EAST
  18 Missouri A =  83.43  8 5 75.24( 24) 0 2 | 1 3  |  83.30 17 |  82.13 22 |  83.69 20  SEC-EAST
  26 Kentucky A =  80.44  10 3 74.80( 34) 1 1 | 4 2  |  80.23 26 |  81.14 25 |  81.28 25  SEC-EAST
  41 South Carolina A =  76.31  7 6 75.60( 17) 0 2 | 1 5  |  77.10 36 |  76.47 40 |  71.01 60  SEC-EAST
  57 Vanderbilt A =  72.62  6 7 73.18( 49) 0 2 | 0 5  |  72.51 57 |  71.08 66 |  72.75 53  SEC-EAST
  69 Tennessee A =  70.22  5 7 77.64( 2) 0 2 | 2 5  |  70.19 70 |  70.90 67 |  69.78 65  SEC-EAST
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  1 SEC-WEST (A) = 83.24 82.49 ( 1) TEAMS= 7 82.97 ( 1)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29]
  2 Alabama A = 101.44  14 1 76.68( 9) 3 1 | 7 1  |  101.30 2 |  102.06 2 |  101.81 2  SEC-WEST
  8 Mississippi State A =  87.32  8 5 76.31( 11) 0 2 | 2 5  |  87.83 7 |  85.28 13 |  83.71 19  SEC-WEST
  12 Texas A&M A =  85.68  9 4 77.03( 6) 0 3 | 3 4  |  85.34 12 |  85.66 11 |  87.58 11  SEC-WEST
  14 LSU A =  85.16  10 3 77.24( 5) 2 1 | 4 3  |  84.50 16 |  87.32 9 |  90.15 7  SEC-WEST
  15 Auburn A =  84.97  8 5 74.99( 28) 1 3 | 2 4  |  85.13 13 |  85.38 12 |  83.39 21  SEC-WEST
  68 Mississippi A =  70.35  5 7 74.53( 39) 0 2 | 0 5  |  70.96 65 |  71.26 64 |  65.80 82  SEC-WEST
  98 Arkansas A =  62.49  2 10 74.94( 29) 0 2 | 0 6  |  63.26 97 |  61.44 103 |  56.64 116  SEC-WEST
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  14 SUN BELT-EAST (A) = 62.77 62.72 ( 14) TEAMS= 5 62.73 ( 14)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29]
  36 Appalachian State A =  77.09  11 2 57.11( 129) 0 0 | 0 1  |  76.70 39 |  75.62 44 |  79.31 32  SUN BELT-EAST
  76 Troy A =  67.24  10 3 58.17( 120) 0 0 | 0 1  |  66.49 78 |  68.88 73 |  72.43 54  SUN BELT-EAST
  82 Georgia Southern A =  65.86  10 3 56.69( 133) 0 1 | 0 1  |  65.42 85 |  66.10 82 |  68.44 69  SUN BELT-EAST
 141 Coastal Carolina A =  52.40  5 7 60.55( 110) 0 0 | 0 0  |  52.68 136 |  53.89 127 |  49.68 152  SUN BELT-EAST
 147 Georgia State A =  51.01  2 10 63.48( 87) 0 0 | 0 1  |  51.50 146 |  51.20 146 |  46.73 168  SUN BELT-EAST
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  21 SUN BELT-WEST (A) = 54.45 54.47 ( 21) TEAMS= 5 54.45 ( 21)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29]
  87 Arkansas State A =  65.08  8 5 57.92( 121) 0 1 | 0 1  |  64.70 87 |  65.17 86 |  67.25 79  SUN BELT-WEST
 111 Louisiana A =  58.59  7 7 60.84( 109) 0 2 | 0 2  |  58.28 112 |  58.03 112 |  60.17 107  SUN BELT-WEST
 118 ULM A =  55.97  6 6 59.13( 116) 0 0 | 0 1  |  55.11 121 |  57.28 115 |  61.61 99  SUN BELT-WEST
 162 South Alabama A =  47.17  3 9 61.88( 101) 0 0 | 0 0  |  46.99 162 |  47.55 164 |  47.80 158  SUN BELT-WEST
 171 Texas State A =  45.53  3 9 55.90( 138) 0 0 | 0 0  |  45.23 172 |  44.09 175 |  46.94 165  SUN BELT-WEST
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  13 I-A IND. (A) = 63.47 64.33 ( 12) TEAMS= 6 63.73 ( 13)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29]
  7 Notre Dame A =  87.43  12 1 74.84( 31) 1 1 | 3 1  |  86.66 11 |  90.40 6 |  93.85 4  I-A IND.
  44 Army West Point A =  75.83  11 2 62.12( 99) 0 1 | 0 1  |  75.00 48 |  76.72 39 |  82.16 24  I-A IND.
  63 BYU A =  71.20  7 6 67.94( 69) 0 1 | 1 4  |  71.15 64 |  69.83 69 |  70.95 61  I-A IND.
 138 Massachusetts A =  52.50  4 8 61.32( 104) 0 1 | 0 1  |  52.37 137 |  52.14 139 |  52.77 139  I-A IND.
 139 Liberty A =  52.48  6 6 57.49( 124) 0 0 | 0 1  |  51.64 143 |  52.70 136 |  57.78 112  I-A IND.
 166 New Mexico State A =  46.53  3 9 58.52( 119) 0 0 | 0 1  |  46.48 167 |  48.46 159 |  46.21 172  I-A IND.
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  23 BIG SKY (AA)= 48.69 49.45 ( 23) TEAMS= 14 49.03 ( 23)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29]
  70 Eastern Washington AA =  70.13  12 3 53.16( 143) 0 0 | 0 2  |  69.67 72 |  68.65 74 |  72.91 51  BIG SKY
 101 UC Davis AA =  61.86  10 3 52.06( 146) 0 0 | 0 1  |  61.61 102 |  61.38 104 |  63.01 91  BIG SKY
 110 Weber State AA =  58.79  10 3 50.13( 154) 0 0 | 0 1  |  57.94 113 |  60.88 107 |  64.41 86  BIG SKY
 134 Montana State AA =  52.77  8 5 51.58( 149) 0 0 | 0 1  |  51.85 142 |  53.67 131 |  58.66 110  BIG SKY
 135 Montana AA =  52.77  6 5 48.04( 167) 0 0 | 0 0  |  52.78 135 |  52.36 138 |  52.04 144  BIG SKY
 153 North Dakota AA =  50.15  6 5 46.65( 176) 0 1 | 0 1  |  50.51 150 |  50.29 150 |  46.80 167  BIG SKY
 155 Idaho State AA =  49.58  6 5 52.58( 145) 0 0 | 0 0  |  49.53 155 |  49.17 155 |  49.34 153  BIG SKY
 167 Northern Arizona AA =  46.51  4 6 49.62( 157) 0 0 | 0 0  |  46.72 165 |  46.99 169 |  44.32 180  BIG SKY
 168 Cal Poly-SLO AA =  46.30  5 6 51.62( 148) 0 0 | 0 1  |  45.15 173 |  47.37 166 |  53.35 135  BIG SKY
 172 Idaho AA =  45.46  4 7 57.33( 127) 0 0 | 0 2  |  45.35 170 |  47.35 167 |  45.58 174  BIG SKY
 184 Portland State AA =  41.94  4 7 53.51( 142) 0 0 | 0 0  |  41.55 184 |  42.56 183 |  44.05 182  BIG SKY
 195 Northern Colorado AA =  39.86  2 9 49.83( 156) 0 0 | 0 0  |  39.58 193 |  39.09 201 |  41.16 192  BIG SKY
 201 Southern Utah AA =  39.19  1 10 50.60( 153) 0 0 | 0 0  |  39.77 192 |  38.96 202 |  33.62 214  BIG SKY
 208 Sacramento State AA =  37.04  2 8 50.66( 152) 0 0 | 0 0  |  37.65 206 |  36.86 207 |  31.11 221  BIG SKY
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  28 BIG SOUTH (AA)= 34.40 35.49 ( 28) TEAMS= 6 34.22 ( 28)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29]
 100 Kennesaw State AA =  62.21  11 2 40.08( 204) 0 0 | 0 0  |  62.15 100 |  60.21 108 |  61.97 97  BIG SOUTH
 191 Monmouth-NJ AA =  40.34  8 3 32.54( 236) 0 0 | 0 0  |  39.19 197 |  43.28 180 |  47.06 164  BIG SOUTH
 211 Charleston Southern AA =  35.69  5 6 39.23( 209) 0 0 | 0 1  |  35.40 212 |  35.33 212 |  37.07 208  BIG SOUTH
 222 Campbell AA =  30.76  6 5 34.63( 226) 0 0 | 0 0  |  30.77 222 |  30.51 222 |  29.97 228  BIG SOUTH
 231 Gardner-Webb AA =  26.60  3 8 44.10( 190) 0 0 | 0 0  |  25.75 231 |  29.07 225 |  31.12 220  BIG SOUTH
 250 Presbyterian College AA =  17.35  2 8 39.25( 208) 0 0 | 0 0  |  17.52 248 |  16.54 248 |  15.22 249  BIG SOUTH
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  22 COLONIAL (AA)= 50.18 50.09 ( 22) TEAMS= 12 50.00 ( 22)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29]
  78 James Madison AA =  66.85  9 4 48.56( 164) 0 0 | 0 1  |  67.19 77 |  64.76 87 |  63.96 89  COLONIAL
 125 Stony Brook AA =  54.60  7 5 48.16( 166) 0 0 | 0 0  |  54.53 126 |  54.21 125 |  54.43 128  COLONIAL
 129 Maine AA =  54.13  10 4 50.89( 151) 0 0 | 0 0  |  53.02 134 |  54.01 126 |  61.53 100  COLONIAL
 136 Delaware AA =  52.60  7 5 48.83( 162) 0 0 | 0 1  |  53.07 133 |  53.37 133 |  48.50 156  COLONIAL
 143 Towson AA =  51.88  7 5 49.53( 159) 0 0 | 0 0  |  52.18 139 |  51.46 145 |  49.09 154  COLONIAL
 146 Elon AA =  51.29  6 5 51.80( 147) 0 0 | 0 0  |  51.58 145 |  51.76 141 |  48.45 157  COLONIAL
 148 New Hampshire AA =  50.93  4 7 53.14( 144) 0 0 | 0 0  |  50.48 151 |  51.02 148 |  53.43 133  COLONIAL
 151 Villanova AA =  50.33  5 6 49.56( 158) 0 0 | 0 0  |  50.26 152 |  49.36 153 |  50.15 150  COLONIAL
 161 Rhode Island AA =  47.57  6 5 48.83( 163) 0 0 | 0 0  |  47.04 161 |  45.75 172 |  50.62 149  COLONIAL
 185 Richmond AA =  41.89  4 7 49.42( 160) 0 0 | 0 0  |  42.05 183 |  43.22 182 |  40.01 197  COLONIAL
 198 Albany-NY AA =  39.49  3 8 47.74( 170) 0 0 | 0 0  |  39.44 195 |  39.17 200 |  39.21 200  COLONIAL
 200 William & Mary AA =  39.48  4 6 51.41( 150) 0 0 | 0 0  |  38.87 200 |  42.12 186 |  42.96 186  COLONIAL
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  25 IVY LEAGUE (AA)= 44.50 44.85 ( 25) TEAMS= 8 44.65 ( 25)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29]
  89 Princeton AA =  64.91  10 0 37.60( 214) 0 0 | 0 0  |  64.42 92 |  62.64 96 |  67.89 74  IVY LEAGUE
 114 Dartmouth AA =  57.50  9 1 40.16( 203) 0 0 | 0 0  |  56.86 115 |  55.56 119 |  61.52 101  IVY LEAGUE
 152 Harvard AA =  50.21  6 4 42.29( 197) 0 0 | 0 0  |  49.30 157 |  48.79 156 |  55.89 119  IVY LEAGUE
 163 Yale AA =  46.90  5 5 45.17( 185) 0 0 | 0 0  |  46.76 164 |  48.08 160 |  47.22 163  IVY LEAGUE
 196 Pennsylvania AA =  39.60  6 4 40.03( 206) 0 0 | 0 0  |  38.91 199 |  41.48 191 |  43.52 184  IVY LEAGUE
 202 Columbia AA =  39.16  6 4 40.60( 201) 0 0 | 0 0  |  38.21 202 |  41.64 188 |  44.65 178  IVY LEAGUE
 213 Cornell AA =  35.49  3 7 47.21( 174) 0 0 | 0 0  |  34.93 213 |  35.97 210 |  38.55 203  IVY LEAGUE
 234 Brown AA =  25.02  1 9 45.50( 182) 0 0 | 0 0  |  24.61 237 |  25.82 235 |  27.11 233  IVY LEAGUE
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  32 MID-EASTERN (AA)= 30.35 30.73 ( 32) TEAMS= 10 30.41 ( 32)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29]
 158 NC A&T AA =  49.26  10 2 32.10( 239) 0 0 | 0 0  |  48.71 158 |  49.99 151 |  52.46 141  MID-EASTERN
 214 Howard AA =  34.18  4 6 32.32( 238) 0 0 | 0 0  |  34.70 214 |  33.10 216 |  29.05 229  MID-EASTERN
 215 Florida A&M AA =  34.17  6 5 32.02( 240) 0 0 | 0 0  |  34.51 215 |  32.80 217 |  30.77 225  MID-EASTERN
 218 Bethune-Cookman AA =  33.40  7 5 36.85( 219) 0 0 | 0 0  |  32.50 220 |  34.93 213 |  38.45 204  MID-EASTERN
 221 SC State AA =  32.38  5 6 34.61( 227) 0 0 | 0 1  |  31.65 221 |  31.77 219 |  36.46 209  MID-EASTERN
 226 NC Central AA =  28.15  5 6 35.41( 223) 0 0 | 0 0  |  27.74 224 |  29.23 224 |  30.26 227  MID-EASTERN
 227 Morgan State AA =  28.11  4 7 35.68( 222) 0 0 | 0 0  |  27.01 230 |  26.90 231 |  33.93 213  MID-EASTERN
 236 Norfolk State AA =  24.85  4 7 35.30( 224) 0 0 | 0 0  |  24.86 235 |  24.96 237 |  24.12 241  MID-EASTERN
 239 Savannah State AA =  24.18  2 8 36.40( 221) 0 0 | 0 0  |  24.01 238 |  23.47 239 |  24.78 239  MID-EASTERN
 244 Delaware State AA =  18.65  3 8 36.72( 220) 0 0 | 0 0  |  16.98 250 |  18.54 246 |  26.24 236  MID-EASTERN
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  19 MISSOURI VALLEY (AA)= 57.79 59.21 ( 18) TEAMS= 10 58.28 ( 19)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29]
  19 North Dakota State AA =  83.40  15 0 55.59( 139) 0 0 | 0 0  |  82.88 19 |  83.81 17 |  86.88 12  MISSOURI VALLEY
  58 South Dakota State AA =  72.52  10 3 54.83( 141) 0 0 | 0 2  |  72.50 58 |  71.48 63 |  72.03 57  MISSOURI VALLEY
  95 Illinois State AA =  63.56  6 5 55.95( 136) 0 0 | 0 1  |  64.21 93 |  61.19 106 |  58.57 111  MISSOURI VALLEY
  96 Northern Iowa AA =  62.90  7 6 57.79( 122) 0 1 | 0 2  |  63.61 96 |  62.98 95 |  57.45 115  MISSOURI VALLEY
 120 Western Illinois AA =  55.62  5 6 56.51( 134) 0 0 | 0 1  |  55.10 122 |  56.04 117 |  58.71 109  MISSOURI VALLEY
 127 Youngstown State AA =  54.37  4 7 57.32( 128) 0 0 | 0 2  |  54.36 128 |  54.88 121 |  53.79 130  MISSOURI VALLEY
 131 South Dakota AA =  53.21  4 7 58.56( 118) 0 0 | 0 1  |  53.10 131 |  53.47 132 |  53.40 134  MISSOURI VALLEY
 142 Indiana State AA =  52.17  7 4 55.92( 137) 0 0 | 0 0  |  50.92 148 |  51.59 143 |  60.43 105  MISSOURI VALLEY
 159 Southern Illinois AA =  49.23  2 9 57.07( 130) 0 0 | 0 1  |  49.35 156 |  48.73 158 |  47.74 159  MISSOURI VALLEY
 173 Missouri State AA =  45.12  4 7 61.05( 106) 0 0 | 0 1  |  45.25 171 |  46.72 170 |  43.49 185  MISSOURI VALLEY
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  29 NORTHEAST (AA)= 32.07 31.45 ( 30) TEAMS= 7 31.70 ( 29)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29]
 193 Duquesne AA =  40.03  9 4 37.59( 215) 0 0 | 0 0  |  37.70 205 |  43.27 181 |  52.89 137  NORTHEAST
 206 Central Connecticut AA =  37.60  6 5 32.56( 235) 0 0 | 0 0  |  37.30 207 |  37.26 206 |  38.98 202  NORTHEAST
 207 Sacred Heart AA =  37.41  7 4 32.63( 234) 0 0 | 0 0  |  36.97 208 |  36.80 208 |  39.81 198  NORTHEAST
 220 Saint Francis-Pa. AA =  32.53  4 7 31.98( 242) 0 0 | 0 0  |  32.87 219 |  30.64 221 |  28.98 230  NORTHEAST
 228 Wagner AA =  28.06  4 7 37.92( 211) 0 0 | 0 1  |  27.52 227 |  28.05 230 |  30.95 222  NORTHEAST
 230 Bryant AA =  26.84  6 5 33.55( 230) 0 0 | 0 0  |  27.06 229 |  28.75 227 |  24.38 240  NORTHEAST
 249 Robert Morris AA =  17.67  2 9 37.29( 216) 0 0 | 0 0  |  18.03 247 |  16.28 249 |  13.60 251  NORTHEAST
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  26 OHIO VALLEY (AA)= 42.11 42.04 ( 26) TEAMS= 9 42.21 ( 26)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29]
 119 Jacksonville State AA =  55.67  9 4 42.56( 195) 0 0 | 0 0  |  55.97 119 |  54.86 122 |  52.88 138  OHIO VALLEY
 156 SE Missouri State AA =  49.47  9 4 45.19( 184) 0 0 | 0 0  |  48.34 159 |  49.54 152 |  56.59 117  OHIO VALLEY
 176 Tennessee-Martin AA =  43.81  2 9 46.40( 177) 0 0 | 0 1  |  44.51 174 |  41.56 190 |  37.43 207  OHIO VALLEY
 181 Tennessee State AA =  42.60  4 5 44.23( 189) 0 0 | 0 0  |  42.94 179 |  41.16 194 |  39.30 199  OHIO VALLEY
 182 Austin Peay AA =  42.38  5 6 40.07( 205) 0 1 | 0 1  |  42.45 181 |  41.40 193 |  41.15 193  OHIO VALLEY
 189 Eastern Illinois AA =  40.45  3 8 46.66( 175) 0 0 | 0 0  |  40.31 188 |  40.08 198 |  40.84 195  OHIO VALLEY
 197 Eastern Kentucky AA =  39.52  7 4 41.21( 198) 0 0 | 0 0  |  38.64 201 |  41.41 192 |  44.64 179  OHIO VALLEY
 199 Murray State AA =  39.49  5 6 45.63( 181) 0 0 | 0 1  |  39.57 194 |  40.57 196 |  38.23 205  OHIO VALLEY
 235 Tennessee Tech AA =  25.00  1 10 47.90( 168) 0 0 | 0 1  |  24.89 234 |  25.85 234 |  25.18 237  OHIO VALLEY
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  30 PATRIOT (AA)= 30.85 33.22 ( 29) TEAMS= 7 31.40 ( 30)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29]
 105 Colgate AA =  60.31  10 2 39.87( 207) 0 0 | 0 1  |  59.76 108 |  59.33 110 |  63.65 90  PATRIOT
 192 Holy Cross AA =  40.05  5 6 42.48( 196) 0 0 | 0 0  |  39.83 191 |  38.79 203 |  40.93 194  PATRIOT
 224 Lehigh AA =  28.30  3 8 40.27( 202) 0 0 | 0 0  |  27.58 226 |  30.16 223 |  32.22 217  PATRIOT
 225 Georgetown AA =  28.23  5 6 32.53( 237) 0 0 | 0 0  |  27.39 228 |  28.26 228 |  32.75 215  PATRIOT
 229 Fordham AA =  27.62  2 9 37.23( 217) 0 0 | 0 0  |  27.67 225 |  28.14 229 |  26.58 234  PATRIOT
 238 Lafayette AA =  24.51  3 8 38.65( 210) 0 0 | 0 0  |  24.79 236 |  25.36 236 |  21.48 242  PATRIOT
 240 Bucknell AA =  23.49  1 10 37.72( 213) 0 0 | 0 0  |  24.00 239 |  22.82 240 |  17.98 245  PATRIOT
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  35 PIONEER (AA)= 21.34 22.44 ( 35) TEAMS= 10 21.86 ( 35)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29]
 203 San Diego AA =  39.15  9 3 28.47( 246) 0 0 | 0 0  |  38.14 203 |  41.56 189 |  44.98 176  PIONEER
 210 Drake AA =  35.94  7 4 26.53( 250) 0 0 | 0 0  |  35.83 210 |  33.89 214 |  36.11 210  PIONEER
 219 Dayton AA =  33.24  6 5 24.30( 253) 0 0 | 0 0  |  33.52 218 |  31.41 220 |  30.31 226  PIONEER
 241 Marist AA =  22.78  5 6 25.30( 251) 0 0 | 0 0  |  21.84 242 |  21.57 241 |  27.67 232  PIONEER
 243 Stetson AA =  18.96  8 2 20.35( 255) 0 0 | 0 0  |  17.38 249 |  19.57 243 |  26.26 235  PIONEER
 245 Butler AA =  18.63  4 7 28.20( 247) 0 0 | 0 0  |  18.79 243 |  18.92 245 |  16.67 247  PIONEER
 247 Valparaiso AA =  18.41  2 9 25.27( 252) 0 0 | 0 0  |  18.44 244 |  16.59 247 |  17.50 246  PIONEER
 251 Davidson AA =  13.32  6 5 21.10( 254) 0 0 | 0 0  |  12.91 252 |  10.04 254 |  15.35 248  PIONEER
 252 Jacksonville AA =  12.92  2 8 26.70( 249) 0 0 | 0 0  |  13.08 251 |  12.50 251 |  10.83 254  PIONEER
 254 Morehead State AA =  11.06  3 8 28.19( 248) 0 0 | 0 0  |  10.57 254 |  11.55 252 |  13.54 252  PIONEER
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  24 SOUTHERN (AA)= 46.19 45.40 ( 24) TEAMS= 9 45.91 ( 24)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29]
 116 Samford AA =  56.25  6 5 49.05( 161) 0 0 | 0 0  |  56.37 116 |  54.85 123 |  54.72 125  SOUTHERN
 123 Wofford AA =  54.88  9 4 45.24( 183) 0 0 | 0 0  |  54.81 123 |  55.30 120 |  54.75 124  SOUTHERN
 144 Furman AA =  51.50  6 4 48.50( 165) 0 1 | 0 1  |  50.88 149 |  52.09 140 |  55.23 122  SOUTHERN
 160 The Citadel AA =  48.34  5 6 47.24( 172) 0 1 | 0 1  |  47.78 160 |  46.48 171 |  51.61 146  SOUTHERN
 165 Chattanooga AA =  46.72  6 5 46.33( 178) 0 0 | 0 0  |  46.79 163 |  47.68 163 |  45.56 175  SOUTHERN
 175 Mercer AA =  43.95  5 6 46.29( 179) 0 0 | 0 0  |  43.72 176 |  44.16 174 |  44.98 177  SOUTHERN
 179 East Tennessee State AA =  43.04  8 4 47.73( 171) 0 0 | 0 0  |  42.44 182 |  43.74 176 |  46.48 170  SOUTHERN
 204 Western Carolina AA =  38.34  3 8 47.23( 173) 0 0 | 0 0  |  38.96 198 |  38.32 204 |  32.41 216  SOUTHERN
 232 VMI AA =  25.55  1 10 50.11( 155) 0 0 | 0 0  |  25.55 232 |  24.86 238 |  24.85 238  SOUTHERN
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  27 SOUTHLAND (AA)= 41.76 41.14 ( 27) TEAMS= 11 41.47 ( 27)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29]
 124 Nicholls State AA =  54.67  9 4 43.84( 191) 0 0 | 0 0  |  54.42 127 |  53.34 134 |  55.84 120  SOUTHLAND
 164 Central Arkansas AA =  46.87  6 5 41.07( 200) 0 0 | 0 0  |  46.71 166 |  47.00 168 |  47.40 160  SOUTHLAND
 170 Sam Houston State AA =  45.59  6 5 41.16( 199) 0 0 | 0 0  |  45.98 168 |  47.44 165 |  41.93 190  SOUTHLAND
 174 Abilene Christian AA =  44.15  6 5 43.32( 192) 0 0 | 0 0  |  43.76 175 |  43.39 179 |  46.27 171  SOUTHLAND
 177 Incarnate Word AA =  43.60  6 5 47.75( 169) 0 0 | 0 0  |  42.57 180 |  43.61 178 |  49.75 151  SOUTHLAND
 183 Lamar AA =  42.03  7 5 44.84( 186) 0 0 | 0 0  |  40.41 187 |  41.65 187 |  51.56 147  SOUTHLAND
 187 McNeese State AA =  41.10  6 5 42.73( 194) 0 0 | 0 0  |  41.27 186 |  43.61 177 |  39.11 201  SOUTHLAND
 190 SE Louisiana AA =  40.40  4 7 46.01( 180) 0 0 | 0 1  |  40.04 190 |  41.00 195 |  42.25 189  SOUTHLAND
 205 Northwestern State AA =  38.31  5 6 43.12( 193) 0 0 | 0 1  |  37.78 204 |  37.95 205 |  41.24 191  SOUTHLAND
 217 Stephen F. Austin AA =  33.42  2 8 44.48( 187) 0 1 | 0 1  |  33.62 217 |  33.42 215 |  31.20 219  SOUTHLAND
 242 Houston Baptist AA =  22.39  1 10 44.35( 188) 0 0 | 0 0  |  22.75 241 |  19.54 244 |  18.45 244  SOUTHLAND
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  34 SWAC-EAST (AA)= 24.35 24.46 ( 34) TEAMS= 5 24.33 ( 34)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29]
 186 Alcorn State AA =  41.19  9 4 34.32( 228) 0 0 | 0 0  |  40.26 189 |  42.37 185 |  46.60 169  SWAC-EAST
 223 Alabama A&M AA =  29.08  6 5 28.76( 245) 0 0 | 0 0  |  28.73 223 |  26.68 232 |  30.80 224  SWAC-EAST
 237 Jackson State AA =  24.62  5 5 31.98( 241) 0 0 | 0 0  |  23.41 240 |  25.95 233 |  30.82 223  SWAC-EAST
 246 Alabama State AA =  18.51  4 7 37.06( 218) 0 0 | 0 1  |  18.30 245 |  21.14 242 |  19.38 243  SWAC-EAST
 255 Miss. Valley State AA =  8.89  1 10 30.81( 243) 0 0 | 0 0  |  9.06 255 |  6.70 255 |  6.71 255  SWAC-EAST
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  33 SWAC-WEST (AA)= 29.03 27.91 ( 33) TEAMS= 5 28.54 ( 33)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29]
 194 Southern U. AA =  39.90  7 4 35.25( 225) 0 0 | 0 0  |  39.26 196 |  40.43 197 |  43.56 183  SWAC-WEST
 212 Prairie View A&M AA =  35.61  5 6 32.89( 233) 0 0 | 0 0  |  36.03 209 |  32.69 218 |  31.42 218  SWAC-WEST
 216 Grambling State AA =  34.13  6 5 30.66( 244) 0 0 | 0 0  |  33.75 216 |  36.18 209 |  36.09 211  SWAC-WEST
 248 Texas Southern AA =  17.83  2 9 33.27( 231) 0 0 | 0 0  |  18.29 246 |  15.40 250 |  12.67 253  SWAC-WEST
 253 Ark.-Pine Bluff AA =  12.07  2 9 33.92( 229) 0 0 | 0 0  |  11.58 253 |  11.08 253 |  14.56 250  SWAC-WEST
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  31 I-AA IND. (AA)= 30.83 30.83 ( 31) TEAMS= 2 30.83 ( 31)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29]
 209 North Alabama AA =  36.17  7 3 37.87( 212) 0 0 | 0 1  |  35.81 211 |  35.82 211 |  37.98 206  I-AA IND.
 233 Hampton AA =  25.50  7 3 33.02( 232) 0 0 | 0 0  |  25.04 233 |  28.92 226 |  27.93 231  I-AA IND.
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  36 ***UNRATED*** (**) = -91.00 -91.00 ( 36) TEAMS= 1 -91.00 ( 36)
FINAL College Football 2018 through games of 2019 January 7 Monday - National Championship Game  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29] [  2.29]
 256 ***UNRATED*** __ = -91.00  3 61 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0  |  -91.00 256 |  -91.00 256 |  -91.00 256  ***UNRATED***
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


Predictions_with_Totals


  These are the "regular method". &
HOME or CLOSEBY (c) team in CAPS &
both teams in lower case &
means "n" for NEUTRAL location &
  FAVORITE Rating Points Golden Recent UNDERDOG TOTAL &
================================================================================================
 n clemson 1.72 1.13 1.58 8.50 alabama 62.50

EIGENVECTOR Analysis eigen MONEY=odds to 100 PCT%=confidence
  FAVORITE SPREAD ODDS PCT% UNDERDOG
  1 N Clemson 8.78 255 72% @ Alabama
endfile

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