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All Contents Copyright © 2019 Jeff Sagarintm. All rights reserved.

Predictions_with_Totals


just click on "Predictions_with_Totals" and it will take you to the daily predictions at bottom of file

COLLEGE FOOTBALL 2019 through results of 2019 OCTOBER 12 SATURDAY


this output has one part: (1) teams listed by RATING top-to-bottom

The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would have to be for a
hypothetical team to have a mathematical expectation of winning precisely 50%
of their games against the schedule played by the team in question in the games
that it has played so far. The schedule difficulty of each given game takes
into account the rating of the opponent and the location of the game. This
is the same concept that is used in computing the WIN50% conference ratings.

In COLLEGE FOOTBALL the W-L records include ALL games, but ONLY
games between the 256 TEAMS RATED here are used for RATING and SCHEDULE
STRENGTH computations.

To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL 3 points for the home
team. Thus, for example, a HOME team with a rating of 92 would be
favored by 5 points over a VISITING team having a rating of 90.
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 89 would be favored by 7 points
over a HOME team having a rating of 79.

NOTE: Use whatever home advantage is listed in the output below.
  In the example just above, a home edge of 3 was shown for
  illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.
Several different home edges are shown, one for each of the several different type of ratings
directly over their respective columns.


The numbers to the right of a team's schedule strength
are its rank of schedule - (in parentheses) - and its
record versus teams in these rating's CURRENT top 10
and top 30 respectively.



Teams that appear to be tied to two decimal places in a given column are actually
different when carried to more decimal places in the computer's internal arithmetic.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The PREDICTOR, is such that the score is the only thing that matters.
PREDICTOR is also known as PURE_POINTS, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL
and is a very good PREDICTOR of future games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
GOLDEN_MEAN also utilizes the actual SCORES of the games in a different way but is also completely SCORE BASED
and thus should be a good match for the PURE POINTS in terms of predictive accuracy for upcoming games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The RECENT, is score-based and weights RECENT play more heavily than earlier games. Its effect will become
more pronounced the longer a season goes if a given team happens to have an upward or downward trend.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The overall RATING is a synthesis of the three different SCORE-BASED methods, PREDICTOR(PURE_POINTS)GOLDEN_MEAN,
and RECENT and thus should be a good predictor in its own right.


_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
College Football 2019 through games of October 12 Saturday  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.43] [  2.39] [  2.47] [  2.39]
  1 Ohio State A = 102.84  6 0 72.46( 23) 0 0 | 2 0  |  104.69 1 |  101.66 2 |  103.81 1  BIG TEN-E
  2 Alabama A = 102.63  6 0 71.60( 28) 0 0 | 2 0  |  102.38 2 |  102.81 1 |  101.90 2  SEC-WEST
  3 Wisconsin A =  96.33  6 0 68.75( 49) 0 0 | 2 0  |  98.55 3 |  94.78 6 |  98.88 3  BIG TEN-W
  4 Oklahoma A =  96.13  6 0 68.50( 51) 0 0 | 1 0  |  95.97 4 |  96.09 4 |  96.34 5  BIG 12
  5 Clemson A =  95.64  6 0 70.19( 42) 0 0 | 1 0  |  94.68 5 |  96.26 3 |  95.15 6  ACC-ATL
  6 LSU A =  94.66  6 0 67.06( 62) 0 0 | 2 0  |  93.62 6 |  94.97 5 |  96.53 4  SEC-WEST
  7 Penn State A =  92.69  6 0 66.90( 64) 0 0 | 1 0  |  93.11 8 |  92.12 7 |  94.21 7  BIG TEN-E
  8 Oregon A =  91.35  5 1 71.21( 33) 0 1 | 0 1  |  93.14 7 |  90.28 9 |  91.40 8  PAC-12-N
  9 Auburn A =  91.29  5 1 79.19( 3) 1 0 | 2 1  |  92.06 9 |  90.77 8 |  91.11 9  SEC-WEST
  10 Georgia A =  88.72  5 1 66.43( 67) 0 0 | 1 1  |  89.09 10 |  88.72 10 |  86.80 12  SEC-EAST
College Football 2019 through games of October 12 Saturday  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.43] [  2.39] [  2.47] [  2.39]
  11 Notre Dame A =  88.10  5 1 70.18( 43) 0 1 | 1 1  |  88.17 11 |  87.94 12 |  88.24 11  I-A IND.
  12 Florida A =  87.53  6 1 71.30( 31) 1 1 | 1 1  |  86.39 14 |  87.90 13 |  89.39 10  SEC-EAST
  13 Michigan A =  87.15  5 1 65.03( 76) 0 1 | 1 1  |  85.15 18 |  88.68 11 |  85.92 15  BIG TEN-E
  14 Texas A =  86.68  4 2 77.08( 6) 0 2 | 1 2  |  87.32 13 |  86.24 14 |  86.44 13  BIG 12
  15 Washington A =  86.27  5 2 71.11( 35) 0 0 | 1 0  |  87.37 12 |  85.66 15 |  85.49 17  PAC-12-N
  16 Utah A =  85.22  5 1 67.23( 60) 0 0 | 0 1  |  86.13 15 |  84.49 16 |  85.90 16  PAC-12-S
  17 Iowa State A =  84.65  4 2 72.74( 20) 0 0 | 1 2  |  85.55 17 |  83.83 17 |  86.05 14  BIG 12
  18 Missouri A =  84.44  5 1 67.02( 63) 0 0 | 1 0  |  85.70 16 |  83.55 18 |  84.94 19  SEC-EAST
  19 Iowa A =  83.64  4 2 71.80( 27) 0 1 | 1 2  |  84.55 19 |  83.29 21 |  82.01 23  BIG TEN-W
  20 Michigan State A =  83.11  4 3 76.56( 8) 0 2 | 0 3  |  83.66 22 |  82.77 22 |  82.59 22  BIG TEN-E
College Football 2019 through games of October 12 Saturday  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.43] [  2.39] [  2.47] [  2.39]
  21 Texas A&M A =  83.07  3 3 75.22( 10) 0 3 | 0 3  |  84.54 20 |  82.49 23 |  80.99 25  SEC-WEST
  22 Boise State A =  82.60  6 0 63.06( 87) 0 0 | 0 0  |  80.79 25 |  83.48 19 |  84.06 20  MWC-MTN
  23 Oklahoma State A =  82.34  4 2 70.92( 36) 0 0 | 0 1  |  83.92 21 |  81.82 24 |  79.58 31  BIG 12
  24 Baylor A =  82.34  6 0 61.67( 96) 0 0 | 1 0  |  80.04 27 |  83.39 20 |  85.19 18  BIG 12
  25 Central Florida(UCF) A =  82.19  4 2 67.24( 59) 0 0 | 0 1  |  83.10 23 |  81.80 25 |  80.73 26  AAC EAST
  26 Southern California A =  80.74  3 3 79.00( 4) 0 0 | 1 2  |  81.48 24 |  80.25 26 |  80.43 27  PAC-12-S
  27 Cincinnati A =  79.80  5 1 71.15( 34) 0 1 | 1 1  |  78.70 28 |  79.91 27 |  83.18 21  AAC EAST
  28 South Carolina A =  79.62  3 3 79.86( 2) 1 1 | 1 2  |  80.59 26 |  78.83 30 |  80.38 28  SEC-EAST
  29 Arizona State A =  79.12  5 1 69.05( 47) 0 0 | 1 0  |  77.87 31 |  79.53 28 |  81.08 24  PAC-12-S
  30 TCU A =  78.07  3 2 67.46( 58) 0 0 | 0 1  |  78.20 30 |  78.34 32 |  75.46 39  BIG 12
College Football 2019 through games of October 12 Saturday  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.43] [  2.39] [  2.47] [  2.39]
  31 Stanford A =  77.73  3 3 80.05( 1) 0 1 | 1 3  |  76.57 35 |  78.19 33 |  78.93 33  PAC-12-N
  32 Minnesota A =  77.63  6 0 65.43( 74) 0 0 | 0 0  |  75.10 45 |  78.87 29 |  80.12 30  BIG TEN-W
  33 Appalachian State A =  77.53  5 0 56.48( 126) 0 0 | 0 0  |  75.22 43 |  78.73 31 |  79.24 32  SUN BELT-E
  34 Memphis A =  77.19  5 1 61.22( 103) 0 0 | 0 0  |  76.61 34 |  77.48 35 |  77.06 36  AAC WEST
  35 North Dakota State AA =  76.72  6 0 49.17( 156) 0 0 | 0 0  |  75.30 42 |  77.56 34 |  76.63 37  MVC
  36 Kansas State A =  76.51  3 2 70.38( 40) 0 0 | 0 2  |  78.51 29 |  75.55 42 |  74.87 44  BIG 12
  37 Mississippi State A =  76.21  3 3 71.51( 29) 0 1 | 0 1  |  77.13 32 |  76.37 38 |  71.66 57  SEC-WEST
  38 Virginia A =  76.17  4 2 70.32( 41) 0 0 | 0 1  |  75.40 40 |  76.89 36 |  74.24 48  ACC-COA
  39 Florida State A =  76.09  3 3 74.36( 15) 0 1 | 0 2  |  75.01 46 |  76.84 37 |  75.15 42  ACC-ATL
  40 SMU A =  75.97  6 0 63.65( 83) 0 0 | 1 0  |  74.94 47 |  75.92 41 |  80.19 29  AAC WEST
College Football 2019 through games of October 12 Saturday  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.43] [  2.39] [  2.47] [  2.39]
  41 California A =  75.91  4 2 74.95( 13) 0 1 | 1 2  |  75.62 38 |  75.95 40 |  76.18 38  PAC-12-N
  42 Duke A =  75.70  4 2 65.78( 72) 0 1 | 0 1  |  75.12 44 |  76.02 39 |  75.31 41  ACC-COA
  43 North Carolina A =  75.41  3 3 76.62( 7) 0 1 | 1 1  |  76.13 37 |  74.97 46 |  74.86 45  ACC-COA
  44 Miami-Florida A =  75.38  3 3 68.17( 55) 0 0 | 0 1  |  76.95 33 |  74.69 47 |  73.45 49  ACC-COA
  45 Texas Tech A =  75.24  3 3 73.90( 16) 0 1 | 1 2  |  75.35 41 |  75.14 44 |  74.81 46  BIG 12
  46 Wake Forest A =  75.08  5 1 64.58( 80) 0 0 | 0 0  |  74.56 48 |  75.25 43 |  75.46 40  ACC-ATL
  47 Tulane A =  74.87  5 1 59.75( 113) 0 1 | 0 1  |  75.51 39 |  74.01 51 |  77.53 34  AAC WEST
  48 Utah State A =  74.82  3 2 70.01( 44) 0 1 | 0 1  |  74.33 49 |  75.01 45 |  74.88 43  MWC-MTN
  49 Washington State A =  74.78  3 3 66.19( 69) 0 0 | 0 2  |  76.52 36 |  74.18 49 |  71.72 56  PAC-12-N
  50 Navy A =  73.69  4 1 62.63( 89) 0 0 | 0 0  |  73.78 51 |  73.01 54 |  77.30 35  AAC WEST
College Football 2019 through games of October 12 Saturday  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.43] [  2.39] [  2.47] [  2.39]
  51 Pittsburgh A =  73.66  4 2 72.96( 19) 0 1 | 1 1  |  72.35 53 |  74.26 48 |  74.57 47  ACC-COA
  52 Indiana A =  73.50  4 2 56.27( 127) 0 1 | 0 2  |  73.71 52 |  73.36 52 |  72.98 51  BIG TEN-E
  53 West Virginia A =  73.02  3 3 75.05( 12) 0 0 | 0 3  |  71.61 57 |  74.11 50 |  71.43 58  BIG 12
  54 Mississippi A =  72.85  3 4 71.96( 25) 0 1 | 0 2  |  74.18 50 |  72.13 59 |  71.87 55  SEC-WEST
  55 Air Force A =  72.20  4 2 66.45( 66) 0 0 | 0 1  |  71.54 59 |  72.31 57 |  73.43 50  MWC-MTN
  56 Nebraska A =  71.84  4 3 67.62( 57) 0 1 | 0 1  |  70.10 65 |  73.21 53 |  69.97 63  BIG TEN-W
  57 Kentucky A =  71.81  3 3 71.44( 30) 0 0 | 0 2  |  72.24 55 |  71.82 61 |  69.59 64  SEC-EAST
  58 Syracuse A =  71.78  3 3 68.04( 56) 0 1 | 0 1  |  71.56 58 |  72.33 56 |  68.85 71  ACC-ATL
  59 San Diego State A =  71.58  5 1 62.47( 91) 0 0 | 0 0  |  70.23 64 |  72.15 58 |  72.80 52  MWC-WEST
  60 Arizona A =  71.35  4 2 68.95( 48) 0 0 | 0 1  |  69.43 68 |  72.35 55 |  72.26 53  PAC-12-S
College Football 2019 through games of October 12 Saturday  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.43] [  2.39] [  2.47] [  2.39]
  61 NC State A =  71.07  4 2 62.06( 94) 0 0 | 0 0  |  69.85 67 |  72.10 60 |  68.99 69  ACC-ATL
  62 Louisville A =  70.88  4 2 69.07( 46) 0 0 | 0 1  |  70.71 61 |  70.67 62 |  72.24 54  ACC-ATL
  63 Northwestern A =  70.86  1 4 78.15( 5) 0 1 | 0 2  |  72.25 54 |  70.52 63 |  67.47 76  BIG TEN-W
  64 Wyoming A =  70.54  4 2 62.47( 90) 0 0 | 1 0  |  70.41 62 |  70.50 64 |  70.71 60  MWC-MTN
  65 Maryland A =  70.35  3 3 66.30( 68) 0 1 | 0 1  |  71.91 56 |  70.00 65 |  66.45 81  BIG TEN-E
  66 Houston A =  69.96  2 4 72.53( 22) 0 1 | 0 2  |  71.47 60 |  69.08 71 |  69.32 68  AAC WEST
  67 Fresno State A =  69.44  2 3 68.37( 53) 0 0 | 0 1  |  70.26 63 |  69.32 67 |  66.57 80  MWC-WEST
  68 Purdue A =  69.35  2 4 70.80( 37) 0 1 | 0 2  |  69.17 69 |  69.18 70 |  70.54 62  BIG TEN-W
  69 Western Michigan A =  69.01  4 3 63.62( 84) 0 0 | 0 1  |  69.87 66 |  68.34 73 |  69.36 66  MAC-WEST
  70 Colorado A =  68.72  3 3 72.60( 21) 0 1 | 1 1  |  67.69 75 |  69.29 68 |  68.61 72  PAC-12-S
College Football 2019 through games of October 12 Saturday  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.43] [  2.39] [  2.47] [  2.39]
  71 South Dakota State AA =  68.69  5 1 43.52( 190) 0 0 | 0 0  |  67.73 74 |  69.26 69 |  68.33 73  MVC
  72 Hawai'i A =  68.06  4 2 68.41( 52) 0 0 | 0 2  |  66.59 81 |  68.39 72 |  71.41 59  MWC-WEST
  73 Virginia Tech A =  68.00  4 2 60.46( 107) 0 0 | 0 0  |  65.58 85 |  69.57 66 |  67.55 75  ACC-COA
  74 Temple A =  67.97  5 1 59.89( 111) 0 0 | 0 0  |  67.80 73 |  67.76 74 |  69.36 67  AAC EAST
  75 Florida Atlantic A =  67.48  4 2 61.35( 98) 0 1 | 0 2  |  67.26 78 |  67.22 78 |  69.43 65  CONF USA-E
  76 Tennessee A =  67.45  2 4 69.84( 45) 0 1 | 0 2  |  67.45 76 |  67.48 75 |  66.67 79  SEC-EAST
  77 Toledo A =  67.29  4 2 59.99( 110) 0 0 | 0 0  |  68.21 70 |  67.29 76 |  63.35 89  MAC-WEST
  78 Louisiana A =  67.17  4 2 61.27( 102) 0 0 | 0 0  |  68.19 71 |  66.20 81 |  68.91 70  SUN BELT-W
  79 BYU A =  67.12  2 4 75.09( 11) 0 0 | 1 2  |  67.33 77 |  67.27 77 |  64.84 84  I-A IND.
  80 UCLA A =  66.51  1 5 76.10( 9) 0 1 | 0 2  |  68.01 72 |  66.26 80 |  62.04 93  PAC-12-S
College Football 2019 through games of October 12 Saturday  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.43] [  2.39] [  2.47] [  2.39]
  81 James Madison AA =  66.51  6 1 46.95( 162) 0 0 | 0 0  |  65.90 84 |  66.50 79 |  68.32 74  COLONIAL
  82 Montana AA =  66.19  5 1 53.24( 140) 0 1 | 0 1  |  66.42 83 |  65.30 84 |  70.57 61  BIG SKY
  83 Boston College A =  65.66  3 3 61.33( 99) 0 0 | 0 0  |  67.13 79 |  65.50 82 |  60.82 99  ACC-ATL
  84 Oregon State A =  65.61  2 4 72.05( 24) 0 0 | 0 2  |  66.55 82 |  64.69 87 |  67.29 77  PAC-12-N
  85 Army West Point A =  65.04  3 3 57.85( 120) 0 0 | 0 1  |  65.34 86 |  65.27 85 |  61.97 94  I-A IND.
  86 Southern Miss A =  64.87  4 2 61.14( 104) 0 1 | 0 1  |  63.69 88 |  65.17 86 |  67.04 78  CONF USA-W
  87 Louisiana Tech A =  64.63  5 1 50.43( 153) 0 0 | 0 1  |  62.99 90 |  65.40 83 |  65.64 83  CONF USA-W
  88 Arkansas A =  64.40  2 4 64.31( 81) 0 0 | 0 1  |  66.90 80 |  63.47 91 |  60.56 101  SEC-WEST
  89 Tulsa A =  64.29  2 4 73.83( 17) 0 0 | 0 2  |  65.22 87 |  63.62 90 |  64.35 85  AAC WEST
  90 South Florida A =  63.86  3 3 62.70( 88) 0 1 | 0 1  |  63.23 89 |  64.14 89 |  63.90 87  AAC EAST
College Football 2019 through games of October 12 Saturday  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.43] [  2.39] [  2.47] [  2.39]
  91 Arkansas State A =  63.58  3 3 65.04( 75) 0 1 | 0 1  |  62.40 92 |  64.41 88 |  62.42 92  SUN BELT-W
  92 Kansas A =  61.55  2 4 68.52( 50) 0 1 | 0 2  |  60.30 98 |  62.03 92 |  62.86 91  BIG 12
  93 Georgia State A =  61.54  4 2 61.80( 95) 0 0 | 0 0  |  60.29 99 |  61.55 93 |  65.85 82  SUN BELT-E
  94 Western Kentucky A =  61.09  4 2 58.65( 117) 0 0 | 0 0  |  60.42 97 |  60.92 97 |  64.18 86  CONF USA-E
  95 Miami-Ohio A =  60.82  2 4 74.70( 14) 0 1 | 0 3  |  60.28 100 |  61.10 94 |  60.56 100  MAC-EAST
  96 North Texas A =  60.74  2 4 64.70( 78) 0 0 | 0 0  |  62.63 91 |  59.99 103 |  57.73 115  CONF USA-W
  97 Troy A =  60.66  2 3 56.51( 125) 0 0 | 0 1  |  61.55 94 |  60.46 101 |  57.92 114  SUN BELT-E
  98 Marshall A =  60.65  3 3 59.82( 112) 0 0 | 0 2  |  60.91 96 |  60.80 98 |  58.13 111  CONF USA-E
  99 Ohio A =  60.64  2 4 61.01( 106) 0 0 | 0 0  |  61.72 93 |  60.63 99 |  56.08 122  MAC-EAST
 100 Georgia Tech A =  60.55  1 5 70.74( 39) 0 1 | 0 1  |  61.20 95 |  60.92 96 |  55.24 126  ACC-COA
College Football 2019 through games of October 12 Saturday  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.43] [  2.39] [  2.47] [  2.39]
 101 UAB A =  60.35  5 1 45.06( 176) 0 0 | 0 0  |  58.93 112 |  61.04 95 |  61.00 97  CONF USA-W
 102 Northern Iowa AA =  60.22  3 3 60.04( 109) 0 0 | 0 1  |  59.96 101 |  60.48 100 |  58.97 106  MVC
 103 Central Michigan A =  60.20  4 3 58.64( 118) 0 1 | 0 1  |  59.58 106 |  59.95 104 |  63.57 88  MAC-WEST
 104 Kent State A =  59.94  3 3 68.23( 54) 0 2 | 0 3  |  59.61 105 |  59.87 105 |  61.03 96  MAC-EAST
 105 Northern Illinois A =  59.37  2 4 64.65( 79) 0 0 | 0 1  |  59.73 104 |  59.51 106 |  56.48 119  MAC-WEST
 106 Ball State A =  59.27  3 3 63.15( 86) 0 0 | 0 0  |  59.39 108 |  58.81 109 |  61.17 95  MAC-WEST
 107 Fla. International A =  59.20  3 3 55.02( 133) 0 0 | 0 0  |  59.56 107 |  59.09 108 |  57.93 113  CONF USA-E
 108 Buffalo A =  59.14  2 4 61.57( 97) 0 1 | 0 1  |  59.38 110 |  59.28 107 |  56.77 118  MAC-EAST
 109 Illinois A =  58.66  2 4 62.26( 92) 0 0 | 0 1  |  59.75 103 |  58.12 115 |  57.27 116  BIG TEN-W
 110 Vanderbilt A =  58.38  1 5 73.00( 18) 0 2 | 0 2  |  59.80 102 |  58.48 111 |  51.73 141  SEC-EAST
College Football 2019 through games of October 12 Saturday  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.43] [  2.39] [  2.47] [  2.39]
 111 ULM A =  58.25  3 3 63.19( 85) 0 0 | 0 1  |  57.33 114 |  58.31 112 |  60.83 98  SUN BELT-W
 112 Furman AA =  58.24  4 2 45.50( 174) 0 0 | 0 0  |  59.38 109 |  57.09 119 |  60.45 102  SOUTHERN
 113 Middle Tennessee A =  57.96  2 4 70.76( 38) 0 0 | 0 2  |  56.57 118 |  58.72 110 |  58.04 112  CONF USA-E
 114 Weber State AA =  57.76  4 2 52.34( 143) 0 0 | 0 0  |  56.60 117 |  58.00 116 |  60.21 103  BIG SKY
 115 Dartmouth AA =  57.74  4 0 34.92( 235) 0 0 | 0 0  |  56.73 116 |  57.91 117 |  59.96 105  IVY LEAGUE
 116 Nevada A =  57.64  4 2 61.02( 105) 0 1 | 0 1  |  53.38 134 |  60.13 102 |  58.18 110  MWC-WEST
 117 Georgia Southern A =  57.39  2 3 64.90( 77) 0 1 | 0 1  |  56.20 121 |  58.18 114 |  56.40 120  SUN BELT-E
 118 Eastern Michigan A =  57.28  3 3 59.44( 114) 0 0 | 0 0  |  56.26 120 |  58.25 113 |  54.57 133  MAC-WEST
 119 Colorado State A =  56.99  2 5 63.85( 82) 0 0 | 0 0  |  57.79 113 |  56.54 123 |  56.13 121  MWC-MTN
 120 Sacramento State AA =  56.83  4 2 58.82( 115) 0 0 | 0 1  |  59.15 111 |  54.37 131 |  62.98 90  BIG SKY
College Football 2019 through games of October 12 Saturday  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.43] [  2.39] [  2.47] [  2.39]
 121 UNLV A =  56.71  2 4 65.89( 71) 0 0 | 0 1  |  55.96 122 |  56.71 121 |  58.94 107  MWC-WEST
 122 Liberty A =  56.70  4 2 53.97( 136) 0 0 | 0 0  |  55.17 125 |  57.00 120 |  60.15 104  I-A IND.
 123 Princeton AA =  56.13  4 0 26.28( 254) 0 0 | 0 0  |  55.14 126 |  56.68 122 |  55.93 124  IVY LEAGUE
 124 Illinois State AA =  55.80  4 2 46.67( 166) 0 0 | 0 0  |  53.19 135 |  57.28 118 |  56.05 123  MVC
 125 Coastal Carolina A =  55.61  3 3 54.58( 135) 0 0 | 0 0  |  56.85 115 |  54.78 127 |  55.48 125  SUN BELT-E
 126 Youngstown State AA =  55.26  4 2 42.80( 196) 0 0 | 0 0  |  55.72 123 |  54.96 126 |  54.78 131  MVC
 127 Villanova AA =  55.17  6 1 41.74( 204) 0 0 | 0 0  |  54.23 130 |  55.16 124 |  58.27 109  COLONIAL
 128 Idaho State AA =  55.16  3 3 61.31( 101) 0 0 | 0 1  |  56.39 119 |  53.81 133 |  58.27 108  BIG SKY
 129 UC Davis AA =  55.02  3 4 54.61( 134) 0 0 | 0 0  |  55.70 124 |  54.66 128 |  54.00 136  BIG SKY
 130 San Jose State A =  54.80  3 3 58.69( 116) 0 0 | 0 0  |  53.72 133 |  55.06 125 |  56.78 117  MWC-WEST
College Football 2019 through games of October 12 Saturday  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.43] [  2.39] [  2.47] [  2.39]
 131 South Dakota AA =  54.76  3 3 46.63( 167) 0 1 | 0 1  |  54.98 127 |  54.49 130 |  54.93 129  MVC
 132 East Carolina A =  54.35  3 3 56.66( 124) 0 0 | 0 0  |  53.81 132 |  54.61 129 |  54.19 134  AAC EAST
 133 Kennesaw State AA =  54.17  5 1 38.94( 219) 0 0 | 0 0  |  54.45 129 |  53.77 134 |  54.96 128  BIG SOUTH
 134 Montana State AA =  53.70  5 2 45.57( 172) 0 0 | 0 0  |  52.86 136 |  53.98 132 |  54.58 132  BIG SKY
 135 Texas State A =  53.63  2 4 65.54( 73) 0 0 | 0 1  |  54.09 131 |  53.03 136 |  54.90 130  SUN BELT-W
 136 Eastern Washington AA =  53.56  3 4 51.00( 150) 0 0 | 0 1  |  54.90 128 |  53.02 137 |  51.15 143  BIG SKY
 137 Nicholls State AA =  52.71  4 2 46.68( 165) 0 0 | 0 0  |  50.75 140 |  53.43 135 |  55.07 127  SOUTHLAND
 138 Central Arkansas AA =  51.32  4 2 52.57( 142) 0 0 | 0 0  |  49.27 147 |  52.37 138 |  51.87 140  SOUTHLAND
 139 New Hampshire AA =  51.06  4 2 46.32( 169) 0 0 | 0 0  |  49.47 144 |  51.44 139 |  54.04 135  COLONIAL
 140 Towson AA =  50.98  3 3 47.32( 159) 0 0 | 0 1  |  52.16 138 |  50.73 142 |  47.18 157  COLONIAL
College Football 2019 through games of October 12 Saturday  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.43] [  2.39] [  2.47] [  2.39]
 141 Wofford AA =  50.45  3 2 38.14( 223) 0 0 | 0 0  |  51.98 139 |  49.73 145 |  48.33 150  SOUTHERN
 142 Rutgers A =  50.14  1 5 71.88( 26) 0 0 | 0 2  |  48.78 150 |  51.32 140 |  47.31 155  BIG TEN-E
 143 Rice A =  49.99  0 6 71.28( 32) 0 0 | 0 2  |  52.68 137 |  48.25 155 |  49.59 148  CONF USA-W
 144 Tennessee-Martin AA =  49.79  4 2 43.34( 192) 0 0 | 0 1  |  50.71 141 |  48.51 152 |  53.41 137  OHIO VALLEY
 145 Charlotte A =  49.68  2 4 62.10( 93) 0 1 | 0 1  |  50.62 142 |  49.21 147 |  48.25 151  CONF USA-E
 146 New Mexico A =  49.63  2 4 56.02( 129) 0 0 | 0 1  |  49.35 146 |  50.11 143 |  47.05 159  MWC-MTN
 147 Bowling Green A =  49.47  2 4 65.99( 70) 0 0 | 0 1  |  45.61 161 |  51.22 141 |  52.23 138  MAC-EAST
 148 Portland State AA =  49.24  4 3 56.77( 123) 0 0 | 0 1  |  50.51 143 |  47.95 156 |  51.64 142  BIG SKY
 149 Elon AA =  49.07  3 4 51.76( 146) 0 0 | 0 0  |  47.79 155 |  49.47 146 |  50.88 144  COLONIAL
 150 Yale AA =  48.79  3 1 39.66( 214) 0 0 | 0 0  |  46.82 158 |  49.87 144 |  48.77 149  IVY LEAGUE
College Football 2019 through games of October 12 Saturday  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.43] [  2.39] [  2.47] [  2.39]
 151 Sam Houston State AA =  48.78  4 3 43.38( 191) 0 0 | 0 0  |  49.42 145 |  48.42 153 |  47.97 153  SOUTHLAND
 152 Stony Brook AA =  48.57  4 3 44.04( 186) 0 0 | 0 0  |  47.91 154 |  48.97 149 |  47.99 152  COLONIAL
 153 NC A&T AA =  48.47  4 1 38.03( 225) 0 0 | 0 0  |  46.76 159 |  49.16 148 |  50.02 146  MID-EASTERN
 154 North Dakota AA =  48.26  3 3 53.56( 137) 0 0 | 0 0  |  47.91 153 |  48.53 151 |  47.29 156  BIG SKY
 155 Albany-NY AA =  48.19  4 3 43.06( 194) 0 0 | 0 0  |  48.66 151 |  47.18 157 |  51.88 139  COLONIAL
 156 Old Dominion A =  47.65  1 5 60.19( 108) 0 0 | 0 0  |  48.88 149 |  47.15 158 |  45.25 168  CONF USA-E
 157 Harvard AA =  47.61  3 1 29.26( 252) 0 0 | 0 0  |  48.94 148 |  46.71 162 |  47.34 154  IVY LEAGUE
 158 UTSA A =  47.50  2 4 58.11( 119) 0 0 | 0 1  |  45.55 162 |  48.68 150 |  46.84 160  CONF USA-W
 159 Southern Illinois AA =  47.20  2 4 53.32( 139) 0 0 | 0 0  |  47.58 156 |  47.04 160 |  46.11 162  MVC
 160 Jacksonville State AA =  47.06  5 2 39.19( 217) 0 0 | 0 0  |  45.10 165 |  48.38 154 |  45.46 165  OHIO VALLEY
College Football 2019 through games of October 12 Saturday  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.43] [  2.39] [  2.47] [  2.39]
 161 New Mexico State A =  46.77  0 7 67.14( 61) 0 1 | 0 1  |  48.35 152 |  45.88 165 |  45.45 166  I-A IND.
 162 Northern Arizona AA =  46.22  3 3 51.64( 147) 0 0 | 0 0  |  45.80 160 |  46.41 163 |  46.05 163  BIG SKY
 163 SE Missouri State AA =  46.19  3 3 50.66( 151) 0 0 | 0 1  |  44.73 167 |  46.95 161 |  46.32 161  OHIO VALLEY
 164 Delaware AA =  45.99  3 3 49.76( 154) 0 0 | 0 0  |  44.71 169 |  47.10 159 |  43.13 176  COLONIAL
 165 SE Louisiana AA =  45.53  3 3 43.62( 188) 0 0 | 0 0  |  47.04 157 |  44.56 170 |  44.91 169  SOUTHLAND
 166 Austin Peay AA =  45.42  4 2 41.24( 208) 0 0 | 0 0  |  44.84 166 |  44.92 168 |  49.96 147  OHIO VALLEY
 167 Monmouth-NJ AA =  45.36  4 2 42.50( 199) 0 0 | 0 0  |  44.04 171 |  45.79 166 |  47.05 158  BIG SOUTH
 168 Central Connecticut AA =  45.23  5 1 35.62( 232) 0 0 | 0 0  |  43.65 176 |  45.25 167 |  50.23 145  NORTHEAST
 169 Indiana State AA =  45.13  3 3 40.83( 209) 0 0 | 0 0  |  43.93 173 |  46.17 164 |  42.34 183  MVC
 170 Idaho AA =  44.60  2 5 57.55( 121) 0 1 | 0 1  |  45.14 164 |  44.45 171 |  42.70 181  BIG SKY
College Football 2019 through games of October 12 Saturday  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.43] [  2.39] [  2.47] [  2.39]
 171 Maine AA =  44.41  2 4 45.14( 175) 0 0 | 0 0  |  45.25 163 |  44.36 172 |  40.66 190  COLONIAL
 172 South Alabama A =  44.20  1 5 61.32( 100) 0 0 | 0 0  |  44.72 168 |  43.98 174 |  42.92 179  SUN BELT-W
 173 Connecticut A =  44.03  1 5 66.79( 65) 0 0 | 0 1  |  43.86 175 |  44.19 173 |  43.08 177  AAC EAST
 174 Cal Poly-SLO AA =  44.00  2 4 53.32( 138) 0 0 | 0 0  |  42.94 179 |  44.60 169 |  43.62 174  BIG SKY
 175 San Diego AA =  43.70  3 2 39.55( 215) 0 0 | 0 0  |  43.90 174 |  43.10 177 |  45.94 164  PIONEER
 176 Samford AA =  43.40  3 4 43.28( 193) 0 0 | 0 0  |  42.87 180 |  43.95 175 |  41.31 187  SOUTHERN
 177 McNeese State AA =  43.27  3 4 47.44( 158) 0 0 | 0 1  |  43.43 177 |  43.05 178 |  43.42 175  SOUTHLAND
 178 Abilene Christian AA =  42.98  3 4 45.54( 173) 0 0 | 0 0  |  43.94 172 |  42.12 183 |  43.92 172  SOUTHLAND
 179 William & Mary AA =  42.90  2 4 49.09( 157) 0 0 | 0 0  |  44.18 170 |  42.02 185 |  42.60 182  COLONIAL
 180 Southern U. AA =  42.57  3 3 42.54( 198) 0 0 | 0 0  |  43.13 178 |  41.89 186 |  43.99 171  SWAC-WEST
College Football 2019 through games of October 12 Saturday  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.43] [  2.39] [  2.47] [  2.39]
 181 Pennsylvania AA =  42.53  2 2 41.86( 202) 0 0 | 0 0  |  42.13 182 |  42.49 182 |  43.63 173  IVY LEAGUE
 182 Chattanooga AA =  42.46  3 3 44.84( 178) 0 0 | 0 0  |  40.68 189 |  43.45 176 |  42.21 184  SOUTHERN
 183 Alcorn State AA =  42.15  5 2 36.73( 227) 0 0 | 0 0  |  41.60 186 |  42.04 184 |  44.23 170  SWAC-EAST
 184 Richmond AA =  42.06  3 3 44.29( 183) 0 0 | 0 0  |  40.69 188 |  42.68 181 |  42.72 180  COLONIAL
 185 Holy Cross AA =  42.01  3 3 50.58( 152) 0 0 | 0 0  |  40.05 190 |  42.90 179 |  43.05 178  PATRIOT
 186 Incarnate Word AA =  41.61  4 2 42.29( 200) 0 0 | 0 0  |  38.37 196 |  42.75 180 |  45.38 167  SOUTHLAND
 187 UTEP A =  41.30  1 4 55.72( 130) 0 0 | 0 0  |  42.07 184 |  40.94 188 |  39.85 193  CONF USA-W
 188 East Tennessee State AA =  41.17  2 4 51.28( 148) 0 0 | 0 0  |  42.77 181 |  40.45 189 |  38.53 198  SOUTHERN
 189 Duquesne AA =  40.97  3 2 44.98( 177) 0 0 | 0 0  |  39.39 192 |  41.85 187 |  40.77 188  NORTHEAST
 190 Rhode Island AA =  40.78  1 5 51.06( 149) 0 0 | 0 0  |  42.13 183 |  40.07 192 |  39.20 196  COLONIAL
College Football 2019 through games of October 12 Saturday  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.43] [  2.39] [  2.47] [  2.39]
 191 Eastern Kentucky AA =  40.73  3 3 35.11( 233) 0 0 | 0 0  |  41.62 185 |  40.36 190 |  38.87 197  OHIO VALLEY
 192 The Citadel AA =  40.11  3 4 42.73( 197) 0 0 | 0 0  |  40.88 187 |  39.89 193 |  37.68 204  SOUTHERN
 193 Lamar AA =  39.46  4 3 43.64( 187) 0 0 | 0 1  |  37.86 200 |  40.12 191 |  40.70 189  SOUTHLAND
 194 Akron A =  39.25  0 6 56.83( 122) 0 0 | 0 0  |  39.55 191 |  39.69 195 |  34.13 217  MAC-EAST
 195 Southern Utah AA =  39.06  1 6 55.13( 132) 0 0 | 0 0  |  39.29 193 |  39.05 197 |  37.61 205  BIG SKY
 196 Murray State AA =  39.00  4 3 44.21( 185) 0 1 | 0 1  |  38.00 199 |  39.46 196 |  39.29 195  OHIO VALLEY
 197 Florida A&M AA =  38.04  5 1 38.06( 224) 0 0 | 0 1  |  33.49 217 |  39.84 194 |  41.41 186  MID-EASTERN
 198 Missouri State AA =  37.78  1 4 51.99( 145) 0 0 | 0 0  |  36.91 203 |  38.41 198 |  36.43 211  MVC
 199 Columbia AA =  37.71  1 3 41.86( 201) 0 0 | 0 0  |  39.19 194 |  36.87 202 |  36.23 212  IVY LEAGUE
 200 Dayton AA =  37.55  4 1 30.57( 251) 0 0 | 0 0  |  35.80 209 |  38.08 199 |  39.93 192  PIONEER
College Football 2019 through games of October 12 Saturday  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.43] [  2.39] [  2.47] [  2.39]
 201 Prairie View A&M AA =  37.50  2 4 43.53( 189) 0 0 | 0 0  |  39.10 195 |  36.29 205 |  37.80 203  SWAC-WEST
 202 Georgetown AA =  37.47  4 2 31.92( 248) 0 0 | 0 0  |  38.32 197 |  36.28 206 |  40.53 191  PATRIOT
 203 VMI AA =  36.37  4 3 44.22( 184) 0 0 | 0 0  |  35.08 213 |  36.11 209 |  41.61 185  SOUTHERN
 204 Sacred Heart AA =  36.36  3 3 36.62( 228) 0 0 | 0 0  |  36.18 207 |  36.42 203 |  36.03 213  NORTHEAST
 205 Bethune-Cookman AA =  36.23  5 1 23.93( 255) 0 0 | 0 0  |  32.85 219 |  37.68 200 |  38.24 200  MID-EASTERN
 206 Stephen F. Austin AA =  36.17  1 5 49.76( 155) 0 0 | 0 1  |  36.89 204 |  35.38 213 |  37.48 206  SOUTHLAND
 207 SC State AA =  36.16  3 2 41.62( 205) 0 0 | 0 0  |  33.20 218 |  37.35 201 |  38.43 199  MID-EASTERN
 208 Tennessee Tech AA =  36.07  4 3 44.51( 182) 0 0 | 0 0  |  35.25 212 |  36.17 207 |  37.94 202  OHIO VALLEY
 209 Fordham AA =  36.06  3 4 44.81( 179) 0 0 | 0 0  |  34.45 216 |  36.32 204 |  39.48 194  PATRIOT
 210 Houston Baptist AA =  36.01  4 3 39.34( 216) 0 0 | 0 0  |  38.31 198 |  34.12 216 |  37.27 208  SOUTHLAND
College Football 2019 through games of October 12 Saturday  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.43] [  2.39] [  2.47] [  2.39]
 211 Northern Colorado AA =  35.96  1 6 55.37( 131) 0 0 | 0 0  |  35.61 210 |  36.15 208 |  35.51 215  BIG SKY
 212 Drake AA =  35.90  3 3 29.18( 253) 0 0 | 0 0  |  36.48 206 |  35.06 215 |  38.02 201  PIONEER
 213 Mercer AA =  35.80  2 4 36.24( 230) 0 0 | 0 0  |  36.56 205 |  35.90 210 |  31.00 225  SOUTHERN
 214 Western Illinois AA =  35.36  0 6 42.85( 195) 0 0 | 0 0  |  37.06 201 |  35.09 214 |  28.48 231  MVC
 215 Grambling State AA =  35.36  2 4 38.00( 226) 0 0 | 0 0  |  36.96 202 |  33.95 217 |  36.69 210  SWAC-WEST
 216 Wagner AA =  34.69  1 5 46.89( 163) 0 0 | 0 0  |  35.98 208 |  33.55 219 |  35.80 214  NORTHEAST
 217 Campbell AA =  34.52  4 1 32.36( 247) 0 0 | 0 0  |  31.62 223 |  35.61 212 |  37.19 209  BIG SOUTH
 218 Charleston Southern AA =  34.09  1 5 56.09( 128) 0 0 | 0 1  |  34.64 215 |  33.75 218 |  33.36 219  BIG SOUTH
 219 Cornell AA =  34.03  1 3 40.23( 210) 0 0 | 0 0  |  35.39 211 |  33.04 220 |  33.98 218  IVY LEAGUE
 220 Massachusetts A =  33.59  1 6 52.66( 141) 0 0 | 0 0  |  29.75 230 |  35.75 211 |  31.98 224  I-A IND.
College Football 2019 through games of October 12 Saturday  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.43] [  2.39] [  2.47] [  2.39]
 221 Northwestern State AA =  32.84  0 6 52.14( 144) 0 1 | 0 1  |  34.87 214 |  31.47 224 |  32.14 222  SOUTHLAND
 222 Robert Morris AA =  32.64  2 4 44.59( 181) 0 0 | 0 0  |  30.70 225 |  32.82 221 |  37.33 207  NORTHEAST
 223 Saint Francis-Pa. AA =  32.51  3 3 33.42( 244) 0 0 | 0 0  |  32.69 220 |  32.26 223 |  32.71 220  NORTHEAST
 224 Lehigh AA =  32.33  2 3 38.58( 220) 0 0 | 0 0  |  31.39 224 |  32.46 222 |  34.33 216  PATRIOT
 225 Colgate AA =  30.53  0 7 46.50( 168) 0 0 | 0 0  |  31.84 221 |  30.59 225 |  22.39 242  PATRIOT
 226 Eastern Illinois AA =  30.31  0 7 47.15( 161) 0 0 | 0 0  |  31.63 222 |  29.77 227 |  27.48 233  OHIO VALLEY
 227 North Alabama AA =  29.74  2 4 33.53( 242) 0 0 | 0 0  |  29.98 229 |  29.74 228 |  28.08 232  BIG SOUTH
 228 Gardner-Webb AA =  29.47  3 3 39.83( 213) 0 0 | 0 0  |  26.72 236 |  30.45 226 |  32.12 223  BIG SOUTH
 229 Ark.-Pine Bluff AA =  28.86  5 2 32.81( 246) 0 0 | 0 1  |  30.41 227 |  27.01 234 |  32.34 221  SWAC-WEST
 230 Tennessee State AA =  28.43  1 6 35.81( 231) 0 0 | 0 0  |  29.66 231 |  28.15 229 |  23.91 240  OHIO VALLEY
College Football 2019 through games of October 12 Saturday  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.43] [  2.39] [  2.47] [  2.39]
 231 Norfolk State AA =  28.02  2 5 45.93( 171) 0 0 | 0 0  |  27.88 232 |  27.66 231 |  30.05 228  MID-EASTERN
 232 Lafayette AA =  28.00  0 6 46.04( 170) 0 0 | 0 0  |  30.43 226 |  26.34 238 |  26.95 235  PATRIOT
 233 LIU Post AA =  27.84  0 5 39.92( 211) 0 0 | 0 0  |  30.23 228 |  26.50 236 |  24.91 238  NORTHEAST
 234 Hampton AA =  27.48  3 3 31.74( 249) 0 0 | 0 0  |  26.54 238 |  27.68 230 |  28.99 230  BIG SOUTH
 235 Brown AA =  27.42  1 3 39.00( 218) 0 0 | 0 0  |  27.09 234 |  27.55 232 |  27.22 234  IVY LEAGUE
 236 Davidson AA =  27.31  4 2 33.80( 241) 0 0 | 0 0  |  26.56 237 |  27.16 233 |  30.18 227  PIONEER
 237 Alabama State AA =  27.03  3 3 41.47( 206) 0 0 | 0 0  |  26.95 235 |  26.28 240 |  30.83 226  SWAC-EAST
 238 Western Carolina AA =  26.61  1 5 41.82( 203) 0 0 | 0 0  |  27.30 233 |  26.57 235 |  23.02 241  SOUTHERN
 239 Bucknell AA =  26.29  1 5 47.15( 160) 0 0 | 0 0  |  24.98 241 |  26.43 237 |  29.31 229  PATRIOT
 240 Alabama A&M AA =  25.79  4 3 31.50( 250) 0 0 | 0 0  |  24.51 242 |  26.30 239 |  26.59 236  SWAC-EAST
College Football 2019 through games of October 12 Saturday  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.43] [  2.39] [  2.47] [  2.39]
 241 Bryant AA =  25.57  2 5 33.28( 245) 0 0 | 0 0  |  25.00 240 |  25.69 242 |  26.31 237  NORTHEAST
 242 NC Central AA =  25.34  2 5 38.32( 221) 0 0 | 0 0  |  24.42 243 |  25.90 241 |  24.55 239  MID-EASTERN
 243 Merrimack AA =  23.42  2 4 35.01( 234) 0 0 | 0 0  |  25.51 239 |  22.25 243 |  20.59 245  NORTHEAST
 244 Morgan State AA =  21.10  1 5 44.63( 180) 0 0 | 0 0  |  22.05 244 |  20.31 244 |  21.40 243  MID-EASTERN
 245 Jackson State AA =  19.99  1 5 33.43( 243) 0 0 | 0 0  |  19.66 245 |  20.20 245 |  19.34 246  SWAC-EAST
 246 Stetson AA =  19.76  4 1 17.78( 256) 0 0 | 0 0  |  19.45 246 |  19.66 247 |  20.81 244  PIONEER
 247 Howard AA =  18.90  1 6 38.31( 222) 0 0 | 0 0  |  17.28 250 |  19.97 246 |  16.83 250  MID-EASTERN
 248 Marist AA =  18.87  1 4 34.18( 240) 0 0 | 0 0  |  18.37 247 |  19.10 248 |  18.68 248  PIONEER
 249 Butler AA =  16.69  1 5 46.84( 164) 0 0 | 0 0  |  17.50 248 |  16.01 249 |  16.94 249  PIONEER
 250 Jacksonville AA =  16.22  2 4 34.92( 236) 0 0 | 0 0  |  17.31 249 |  15.30 251 |  16.61 251  PIONEER
College Football 2019 through games of October 12 Saturday  
   RATING  W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.43] [  2.39] [  2.47] [  2.39]
 251 Morehead State AA =  15.91  3 3 34.67( 237) 0 0 | 0 0  |  14.78 253 |  15.87 250 |  19.19 247  PIONEER
 252 Texas Southern AA =  15.14  0 6 41.36( 207) 0 0 | 0 0  |  15.77 251 |  14.48 252 |  16.00 252  SWAC-WEST
 253 Miss. Valley State AA =  12.76  1 5 36.31( 229) 0 0 | 0 0  |  14.87 252 |  10.62 256 |  14.73 253  SWAC-EAST
 254 Presbyterian College AA =  12.38  0 6 34.51( 239) 0 0 | 0 0  |  12.85 255 |  12.16 253 |  11.12 255  BIG SOUTH
 255 Delaware State AA =  12.21  1 5 34.55( 238) 0 0 | 0 0  |  13.52 254 |  11.55 254 |  9.89 256  MID-EASTERN
 256 Valparaiso AA =  11.76  0 6 39.88( 212) 0 0 | 0 0  |  12.22 256 |  11.06 255 |  13.34 254  PIONEER
 257 UNRATED __ = -91.00  11 49 0.00( 0) 0 0 | 0 0  |  -91.00 257 |  -91.00 257 |  -91.00 257  UNRATED
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


Predictions_with_Totals


  These are the "regular method". _
HOME or CLOSEBY (c) team in CAPS _
both teams in lower case _
means "n" for NEUTRAL location Rating Favorite _
  MONEY=odds to 100 _
  FAVORITE Rating Predict Golden Recent UNDERDOG ODDS PCT% TOTAL _
======================================================================================================
  ABILENE CHRISTIAN 9.25 9.45 9.20 8.83 stephen f. austin 287 74% 63.94
  air force 1.70 2.56 1.46 -0.37 HAWAI'I 123 55% 72.70
  ALABAMA 37.61 37.32 37.79 37.63 tennessee 3041 97% 62.96
  ALBANY-NY 9.84 8.92 9.58 15.08 rhode island 305 75% 60.11
  APPALACHIAN STATE 21.72 20.28 22.89 20.80 ulm 978 91% 74.17
  army west point 1.07 2.66 1.25 -6.28 GEORGIA STATE 114 53% 58.78
  auburn 24.45 22.77 24.84 28.15 ARKANSAS 1243 93% 52.42
  austin peay 14.56 12.80 14.30 23.66 TENNESSEE STATE 495 83% 66.03
  BETHUNE-COOKMAN 10.64 7.37 12.49 10.58 norfolk state 332 77% 56.13
  boise state 13.04 11.07 13.74 16.83 BYU 425 81% 53.27
  buffalo 17.46 17.44 17.12 20.24 AKRON 657 87% 46.90
  CALIFORNIA 12.73 11.46 13.73 11.29 oregon state 412 80% 52.57
  CAMPBELL 9.48 7.46 10.39 10.58 hampton 294 75% 67.20
  central arkansas 16.04 12.01 18.44 17.34 NORTHWESTERN STATE 573 85% 66.26
  CENTRAL CONNECTICUT 22.10 21.04 22.03 26.31 bryant 1012 91% 43.86
  CENTRAL FLORIDA(UCF) 30.27 31.68 29.66 28.92 east carolina 1956 95% 52.68
  central michigan 8.29 11.58 6.27 8.95 BOWLING GREEN 259 72% 53.28
  charleston southern 1.92 2.27 1.54 2.89 NORTH ALABAMA 126 56% 54.59
  CHATTANOOGA 3.72 0.30 5.47 6.07 east tennessee state 155 61% 45.63
  CINCINNATI 17.94 15.86 18.76 21.23 tulsa 688 87% 53.56
  clemson 22.33 21.59 23.11 20.53 LOUISVILLE 1033 91% 62.62
  CORNELL 5.93 5.94 4.92 13.98 colgate 200 67% 36.46
  dartmouth 36.44 35.96 36.35 38.89 MARIST 2862 97% 44.12
  davidson 8.66 6.86 9.39 11.18 JACKSONVILLE 269 73% 59.44
  dayton 15.36 13.96 15.95 16.73 STETSON 536 84% 66.30
  duquesne 2.18 0.82 2.96 2.35 SACRED HEART 130 56% 46.41
  FLA. INTERNATIONAL 20.34 19.88 20.62 20.48 utep 863 90% 52.50
  florida 5.49 3.41 6.60 6.62 SOUTH CAROLINA 190 66% 35.57
  FLORIDA ATLANTIC 9.26 8.74 8.88 13.69 marshall 287 74% 51.59
  FORDHAM 6.16 5.46 6.32 7.54 lehigh 205 67% 36.04
  FRESNO STATE 15.16 16.69 15.08 10.02 unlv 526 84% 57.65
  FURMAN 20.56 20.89 19.67 25.16 the citadel 881 90% 52.58
  GEORGETOWN 11.90 10.28 12.40 15.97 lafayette 378 79% 38.07
  GEORGIA 19.34 19.24 19.37 19.60 kentucky 786 89% 46.37
  GEORGIA SOUTHERN 4.20 1.74 5.87 3.31 coastal carolina 164 62% 56.16
  harvard 3.17 6.50 1.35 1.90 HOLY CROSS 146 59% 48.05
  houston 23.50 25.22 22.42 23.85 CONNECTICUT 1145 92% 66.15
  idaho state 8.13 8.86 6.88 13.19 IDAHO 255 72% 46.52
  illinois state 18.01 13.74 19.73 25.18 WESTERN ILLINOIS 693 87% 39.60
  INCARNATE WORD 4.58 2.89 5.10 7.08 lamar 172 63% 54.34
  indiana 0.72 -0.59 0.90 4.14 MARYLAND 109 52% 50.56
  IOWA 16.72 17.77 16.57 13.86 purdue 612 86% 42.47
  iowa state 6.98 7.81 6.22 8.85 TEXAS TECH 225 69% 57.64
  jackson state 4.80 2.40 7.11 2.22 MISS. VALLEY STATE 176 64% 43.63
  JACKSONVILLE STATE 3.30 2.76 3.89 1.53 se missouri state 148 60% 66.33
  james madison 21.17 19.33 22.01 23.32 WILLIAM & MARY 931 90% 57.07
  KANSAS STATE 0.88 2.70 -0.32 1.79 tcu 111 53% 53.77
  kennesaw state 39.36 39.21 39.14 41.45 PRESBYTERIAN COLLEGE 3306 97% 58.59
  LIBERTY 14.71 12.30 15.10 21.89 maine 503 83% 40.15
  louisiana 1.16 3.40 -0.68 4.10 ARKANSAS STATE 115 53% 76.05
  LOUISIANA TECH 2.19 1.69 2.70 0.99 southern miss 130 57% 57.81
  lsu 16.03 14.10 16.13 22.49 MISSISSIPPI STATE 572 85% 64.97
  MCNEESE STATE 9.69 7.51 11.39 8.53 houston baptist 301 75% 69.22
  MEMPHIS 4.75 3.49 5.94 1.93 tulane 175 64% 60.91
  MERCER 1.86 3.86 2.26 -8.23 vmi 125 56% 75.56
  merrimack 8.77 9.61 8.24 8.31 DELAWARE STATE 273 73% 36.23
  MIAMI-FLORIDA 17.27 18.15 16.23 20.61 georgia tech 645 87% 42.78
  MIAMI-OHIO 3.89 2.94 4.06 6.47 northern illinois 159 61% 46.88
  minnesota 25.05 23.93 25.09 30.41 RUTGERS 1308 93% 52.24
  missouri 23.63 23.51 22.60 30.82 VANDERBILT 1159 92% 54.55
  MONMOUTH-NJ 18.32 19.70 17.81 17.32 gardner-webb 714 88% 56.52
  montana 6.93 4.88 8.47 5.20 SACRAMENTO STATE 223 69% 61.97
  MOREHEAD STATE 1.66 -0.33 2.33 4.63 butler 122 55% 54.21
  MURRAY STATE 0.70 -1.23 1.57 2.81 eastern kentucky 109 52% 46.55
  NAVY 12.26 12.94 11.34 15.78 south florida 393 80% 56.54
  nc a&t 8.00 10.88 6.85 6.22 FLORIDA A&M 251 72% 51.90
  nc state 2.97 0.32 4.14 5.78 BOSTON COLLEGE 142 59% 49.91
  new hampshire 2.63 2.38 1.87 8.52 DELAWARE 137 58% 39.85
  nicholls state 1.49 -1.06 2.55 4.71 SAM HOUSTON STATE 120 54% 57.39
  north carolina 4.98 8.16 2.94 4.92 VIRGINIA TECH 180 64% 49.87
  north dakota 1.83 2.58 1.46 1.28 CAL POLY-SLO 125 55% 64.97
  NORTH DAKOTA STATE 41.37 40.78 41.62 42.59 missouri state 3608 97% 63.53
  NORTH TEXAS 5.21 8.44 3.74 2.08 middle tennessee 184 65% 62.03
  NORTHERN IOWA 7.90 7.37 8.46 6.43 south dakota 248 71% 42.42
  OHIO 3.13 4.50 3.22 -2.56 kent state 145 59% 50.99
  ohio state 29.54 30.05 28.68 33.95 NORTHWESTERN 1857 95% 37.25
  OKLAHOMA 25.54 26.75 24.45 27.30 west virginia 1361 93% 69.68
  OKLAHOMA STATE 2.44 6.27 0.90 -3.21 baylor 134 57% 58.19
  oregon 2.65 3.38 2.15 3.52 WASHINGTON 137 58% 34.98
  PENN STATE 7.97 10.35 5.90 10.69 michigan 250 71% 38.81
  pennsylvania 2.39 0.55 3.15 5.01 COLUMBIA 133 57% 39.62
  portland state 10.85 12.50 9.33 13.74 NORTHERN COLORADO 339 77% 51.32
  princeton 26.29 25.66 26.67 26.33 BROWN 1447 94% 59.05
  rice 0.06 4.74 -2.90 0.36 UTSA 101 50% 40.34
  saint francis-pa. 2.24 0.07 3.29 5.41 LIU POST 131 57% 29.54
  SAN DIEGO 34.37 34.07 34.50 34.98 valparaiso 2550 96% 59.85
  san diego state 14.34 14.12 14.62 13.62 SAN JOSE STATE 484 83% 42.81
  SC STATE 17.49 13.55 19.51 19.43 morgan state 660 87% 63.32
  SMU 10.43 9.53 10.63 13.22 temple 325 76% 57.49
  south dakota state 21.13 21.41 20.62 23.59 INDIANA STATE 928 90% 37.54
  SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 11.82 14.44 10.36 10.56 arizona 375 79% 63.38
 n southern u. 27.43 27.36 27.41 27.99 texas southern 1584 94% 82.45
  STANFORD 13.66 10.95 14.40 19.28 ucla 452 82% 48.33
  SYRACUSE 0.56 1.60 0.54 -3.34 pittsburgh 107 52% 40.09
  TENNESSEE-MARTIN 21.91 21.47 21.21 28.33 eastern illinois 995 91% 43.40
  TEXAS 27.56 29.41 26.68 25.97 kansas 1600 94% 61.10
  texas a&m 7.79 7.96 7.89 6.72 MISSISSIPPI 245 71% 52.39
  toledo 5.58 6.44 6.02 -0.20 BALL STATE 192 66% 58.35
  TOWSON 27.11 29.56 26.77 20.26 bucknell 1545 94% 61.57
  TROY 18.89 19.23 18.95 17.39 south alabama 754 88% 62.49
  UAB 15.14 12.44 16.36 18.14 old dominion 524 84% 42.92
  uc davis 13.53 14.02 13.15 14.00 SOUTHERN UTAH 446 82% 66.81
  UTAH 8.53 10.65 7.43 7.21 arizona state 266 73% 35.50
  UTAH STATE 19.61 23.33 17.35 19.09 nevada 806 89% 61.96
  VIRGINIA 2.90 2.67 3.33 1.32 duke 141 59% 49.94
  WAGNER 4.49 7.67 3.19 0.86 robert morris 170 63% 37.93
  WAKE FOREST 1.43 1.94 0.88 2.70 florida state 119 54% 71.00
  WASHINGTON STATE 8.49 11.22 7.36 5.50 colorado 265 73% 79.74
  WEBER STATE 13.98 13.18 14.06 16.55 northern arizona 467 82% 61.70
  WESTERN KENTUCKY 13.84 12.19 14.17 18.32 charlotte 461 82% 55.23
  western michigan 9.30 11.22 7.63 12.41 EASTERN MICHIGAN 289 74% 61.24
  wisconsin 35.23 36.41 34.20 39.22 ILLINOIS 2680 96% 57.16
  WOFFORD 26.28 27.07 25.63 27.70 western carolina 1446 94% 64.10
  WYOMING 23.34 23.46 22.85 26.05 new mexico 1130 92% 53.33
  yale 4.29 3.74 4.73 3.67 RICHMOND 166 62% 43.44
  youngstown state 5.63 5.75 5.45 6.28 SOUTHERN ILLINOIS 193 66% 55.52

EIGENVECTOR Analysis eigen MONEY=odds to 100 EPCT%=confidence
  EFAVORITE ESPREAD EODDS EPCT% EUNDERDOG
  1 @ Abilene Christian 17.01 628 86% Stephen F. Austin
  2 @ Alabama 40.43 3354 97% Tennessee
  3 @ Albany-NY 19.84 820 89% Rhode Island
  4 @ Appalachian State 15.06 520 84% ULM
  5 Auburn 31.89 2131 96% @ Arkansas
  6 Austin Peay 14.64 499 83% @ Tennessee State
  7 Baylor 0.55 107 52% @ Oklahoma State
  8 @ Bethune-Cookman 13.89 463 82% Norfolk State
  9 Boise State 25.40 1328 93% @ BYU
  10 Buffalo 16.70 610 86% @ Akron

  11 @ California 23.68 1151 92% Oregon State
  12 @ Campbell 3.65 154 61% Hampton
  13 Central Arkansas 26.94 1500 94% @ Northwestern State
  14 @ Central Connecticut 19.48 793 89% Bryant
  15 @ Central Florida(UCF) 24.98 1282 93% East Carolina
  16 Central Michigan 15.54 545 84% @ Bowling Green
  17 @ Chattanooga 4.66 173 63% East Tennessee State
  18 @ Cincinnati 18.53 726 88% Tulsa
  19 Clemson 13.19 432 81% @ Louisville
  20 Coastal Carolina 4.11 163 62% @ Georgia Southern

  21 Colorado 2.14 129 56% @ Washington State
  22 @ Cornell 6.28 208 67% Colgate
  23 Dartmouth 16.18 580 85% @ Marist
  24 Davidson 3.89 158 61% @ Jacksonville
  25 Dayton 14.97 515 84% @ Stetson
  26 @ Fla. International 19.31 781 89% UTEP
  27 Florida 30.70 1969 95% @ South Carolina
  28 @ Florida A&M 0.64 108 52% NC A&T
  29 @ Florida Atlantic 6.10 204 67% Marshall
  30 @ Fordham 13.88 462 82% Lehigh

  31 @ Fresno State 10.53 328 77% UNLV
  32 @ Furman 13.39 440 81% The Citadel
  33 @ Georgetown 12.20 390 80% Lafayette
  34 @ Georgia 16.04 572 85% Kentucky
  35 @ Georgia State 10.47 326 77% Army West Point
  36 @ Hawai'i 4.66 173 63% Air Force
  37 @ Holy Cross 3.92 159 61% Harvard
  38 Houston 17.56 662 87% @ Connecticut
  39 Idaho State 1.39 118 54% @ Idaho
  40 Illinois State 13.08 427 81% @ Western Illinois

  41 @ Incarnate Word 6.28 208 68% Lamar
  42 @ Iowa 17.06 631 86% Purdue
  43 Iowa State 9.90 307 75% @ Texas Tech
  44 @ Jacksonville State 14.89 511 84% SE Missouri State
  45 James Madison 33.41 2343 96% @ William & Mary
  46 @ Kansas State 3.01 143 59% TCU
  47 Kennesaw State 11.97 381 79% @ Presbyterian College
  48 @ Liberty 10.75 336 77% Maine
  49 Louisiana 5.79 197 66% @ Arkansas State
  50 @ Louisiana Tech 4.63 173 63% Southern Miss

  51 LSU 21.89 986 91% @ Mississippi State
  52 @ Maryland 1.11 114 53% Indiana
  53 @ McNeese State 8.06 253 72% Houston Baptist
  54 @ Memphis 12.25 392 80% Tulane
  55 Merrimack 1.93 126 56% @ Delaware State
  56 @ Miami-Florida 30.14 1895 95% Georgia Tech
  57 @ Miami-Ohio 0.49 106 51% Northern Illinois
  58 Minnesota 36.97 2853 97% @ Rutgers
  59 @ Miss. Valley State 1.65 122 55% Jackson State
  60 @ Mississippi 3.91 159 61% Texas A&M

  61 Missouri 37.21 2888 97% @ Vanderbilt
  62 @ Monmouth-NJ 10.53 328 77% Gardner-Webb
  63 Montana 10.63 332 77% @ Sacramento State
  64 @ Morehead State 6.05 203 67% Butler
  65 @ Murray State 0.48 106 51% Eastern Kentucky
  66 @ Navy 20.04 835 89% South Florida
  67 NC State 0.06 101 50% @ Boston College
  68 New Hampshire 11.55 365 78% @ Delaware
  69 @ North Alabama 9.11 283 74% Charleston Southern
  70 North Dakota 3.59 153 60% @ Cal Poly-SLO

  71 @ North Dakota State 43.05 3724 97% Missouri State
  72 @ North Texas 9.58 297 75% Middle Tennessee
  73 @ Northern Iowa 8.78 273 73% South Dakota
  74 @ Ohio 6.91 223 69% Kent State
  75 Ohio State 46.97 4259 98% @ Northwestern
  76 @ Oklahoma 26.17 1412 93% West Virginia
  77 Oregon 0.02 100 50% @ Washington
  78 @ Penn State 19.77 815 89% Michigan
  79 Pennsylvania 0.88 111 53% @ Columbia
  80 Pittsburgh 0.57 107 52% @ Syracuse

  81 Portland State 4.60 172 63% @ Northern Colorado
  82 Princeton 8.16 255 72% @ Brown
  83 @ Richmond 4.84 177 64% Yale
  84 Robert Morris 4.59 172 63% @ Wagner
  85 @ Sacred Heart 5.36 187 65% Duquesne
  86 Saint Francis-Pa. 9.31 289 74% @ LIU Post
  87 @ Sam Houston State 6.02 202 67% Nicholls State
  88 @ San Diego 19.64 805 89% Valparaiso
  89 San Diego State 13.72 455 82% @ San Jose State
  90 @ SC State 8.14 255 72% Morgan State

  91 @ SMU 13.61 450 82% Temple
  92 South Dakota State 15.61 549 85% @ Indiana State
  93 @ Southern California 7.75 244 71% Arizona
  94 N Southern U. 14.37 485 83% @ Texas Southern
  95 @ Stanford 16.31 588 85% UCLA
  96 @ Tennessee-Martin 19.81 818 89% Eastern Illinois
  97 @ Texas 24.83 1267 93% Kansas
  98 Toledo 2.77 139 58% @ Ball State
  99 @ Towson 19.05 762 88% Bucknell
 100 @ Troy 6.89 222 69% South Alabama

 101 @ UAB 17.88 683 87% Old Dominion
 102 UC Davis 15.12 523 84% @ Southern Utah
 103 @ Utah 0.56 107 52% Arizona State
 104 @ Utah State 12.11 387 79% Nevada
 105 @ UTSA 6.58 215 68% Rice
 106 @ Virginia 4.95 179 64% Duke
 107 @ Virginia Tech 0.22 103 51% North Carolina
 108 VMI 8.57 267 73% @ Mercer
 109 @ Wake Forest 11.03 346 78% Florida State
 110 @ Weber State 18.53 726 88% Northern Arizona

 111 @ Western Kentucky 21.50 953 91% Charlotte
 112 Western Michigan 16.85 619 86% @ Eastern Michigan
 113 Wisconsin 41.33 3481 97% @ Illinois
 114 @ Wofford 21.31 937 90% Western Carolina
 115 @ Wyoming 22.92 1079 92% New Mexico
 116 Youngstown State 11.34 357 78% @ Southern Illinois
endfile

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